agreebera

@agreebera

#2,566,72941

0x8ccf3f4e55818a20b5172422303deedb6308a7a3

~152d· 255 markets · 912 tradesVol: $95,993 @lisijie307262026-08-04 21:44:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

89% (224/251)20/20
0.89x (win $1,091 / loss $1,219)1.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3260/15
Sortino -0.3650/10
$-0.0023 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 133 (251 markets)10/10
100/112 profitable days (89%)10/10
Max DD 487% of peak ($562 / $115)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 89%
Whale
$56,742 invested
Consistent
100/112 profitable days
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#291,381$-213Vol: $43,000
🏛️ POLITICS#35,666$305Vol: $22,928
₿ CRYPTO#1,539,842$-211Vol: $20,653
💰 FINANCE#41,728$19Vol: $4,765
⚽ SPORTS#293,242$9Vol: $2,840
📈 ECONOMICS#631,443$-23Vol: $1,249
🎭 CULTURE#67,809$10Vol: $396
💻 TECH#36,007$2Vol: $163

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-104
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$95,993
Total Redeem
$1,103
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
255
total markets
Trades
445B / 467S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~152d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $120
Week
$1
Vol: $120
Month
$2
Vol: $120
All Time
$-104
Vol: $95,993

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
89%
223W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$-104
Win Rate
89%
223W / 27L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-61

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $452 (4.364013506994694% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 26?$264
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$105
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in February 2026?$83
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?$44
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$30
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?$25
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?$17
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$16

Top Losers

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 17?$-560
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-280
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?$-124
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?$-120
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on April 26?$-101
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?$-6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$-5
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.017
Sortino
-0.006
HHI
118
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
15%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 260s — normal for humanCV 1.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.67
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.1%
Mid (20-55c)1.1%
High (>55c)95.7%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 3:35:02 AM2 trades$2,1550 min
2/25/2025, 9:14:37 AM1 trades$1,6980 min
6/10/2026, 2:51:24 AM5 trades$1,4550 min
6/9/2026, 7:32:46 AM6 trades$1,4488 min
6/14/2026, 10:32:01 PM23 trades$1,37211 min
4/30/2026, 11:31:36 PM18 trades$1,3475 min
7/30/2026, 4:01:12 AM2 trades$1,3190 min
2/23/2025, 4:41:42 PM2 trades$1,3141 min
2/23/2025, 3:51:36 PM2 trades$1,2494 min
10/21/2024, 10:31:39 AM2 trades$1,2430 min
3/3/2025, 7:02:39 AM2 trades$1,0933 min
12/27/2025, 2:26:41 AM1 trades$1,0700 min
5/10/2026, 7:40:16 AM11 trades$1,0100 min
2/24/2025, 2:32:00 AM1 trades$9490 min
3/3/2025, 5:42:22 AM1 trades$9350 min
6/13/2026, 8:25:51 AM17 trades$9206 min
5/13/2026, 2:02:51 AM4 trades$8520 min
5/12/2026, 12:41:03 AM2 trades$8500 min
5/6/2026, 9:01:00 AM4 trades$8400 min
1/21/2026, 2:32:52 AM1 trades$8180 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-17
03-20
05-20
11-24
03-23
05-06
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
38% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.67/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.1 / M1.1 / H95.7