@ahorton

#1,719,49118

0x983c1843305c096ad9991271efd9030d8c318db9

~37d· 71 markets · 146 tradesVol: $11,9742026-08-04 21:57:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (32/71)7.5/20
0.24x (win $2 / loss $9)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.9060/15
Sortino -3.8330/10
$-0.0012 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1448 (71 markets)5.3/10
18/35 profitable days (51%)5.4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($8 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#1,220,544$-5Vol: $8,235
🎭 CULTURE#599,850$-3Vol: $3,541
₿ CRYPTO#469,453$1Vol: $97
💰 FINANCE#217,063$0Vol: $96
🏛️ POLITICS#551,859$0Vol: $4
🌤️ WEATHER#149,964$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,974
Total Redeem
$22
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
71
total markets
Trades
90B / 56S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-7
Vol: $11,974

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
32W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$-7
Win Rate
45%
32W / 39L
Profit Factor
0.24x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.17580872011251758% of PnL)

Top Winners

Vikings vs. Seahawks$1
Thunder vs. Heat$0
Blue Jackets vs. Lightning$0
Warriors vs. Grizzlies$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?$0
Will XRP reach $2.80 in April?$0
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in July?$0
Will XRP reach $2.8 in June?$0
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of January?$0

Top Losers

Warriors vs. Timberwolves$-2
Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?$-2
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Manchester City wins the Premier League?$-1
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?$-1
Avalanche vs. Sharks$-0
Broncos vs. Chargers$-0
Jaguars vs. Raiders$-0
Eagles vs. Commanders$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.202
Sortino
-0.077
HHI
1401
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
29.0%
Half-Kelly
14.5%
Top-1 market
15.4%
Top-5 markets
76.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 536s — normal for humanCV 3.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.08
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)28.9%
High (>55c)71.1%

Sessions

#12
3/29/2025, 7:41:47 PM1 trades$8950 min
3/29/2025, 5:23:51 PM1 trades$8950 min
3/29/2025, 8:14:35 PM1 trades$8940 min
3/29/2025, 6:19:59 PM1 trades$8940 min
3/30/2025, 12:16:27 AM1 trades$8880 min
3/30/2025, 1:01:08 AM1 trades$8880 min
3/29/2025, 3:33:44 PM1 trades$8850 min
3/29/2025, 2:46:56 PM3 trades$8851 min
3/29/2025, 4:15:54 PM1 trades$8840 min
3/29/2025, 12:38:23 PM1 trades$8830 min
3/29/2025, 9:23:10 PM1 trades$8770 min
3/29/2025, 11:03:38 PM1 trades$8760 min
12/17/2024, 12:58:24 PM2 trades$381 min
4/23/2026, 5:17:08 PM2 trades$360 min
5/23/2026, 3:26:35 PM2 trades$330 min
12/19/2024, 2:24:18 AM6 trades$293 min
11/27/2025, 1:48:09 PM1 trades$220 min
12/18/2024, 4:53:11 PM2 trades$202 min
1/25/2026, 9:41:00 AM1 trades$190 min
12/17/2024, 11:40:48 PM1 trades$190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-17
01-07
01-19
03-29
05-26
11-27
04-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M28.9 / H71.1