akula1993

@akula1993

#2,973,54622

0x2549bb8fbb4f053ce55a88ff387525382d0874f7

~38d· 30 markets · 812 tradesVol: $399,1012026-08-04 17:06:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (12/24)10/20
0.71x (win $45,786 / loss $64,443)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1260/15
Sortino -2.4100/10
$-0.1130 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1001 (24 markets)7.5/10
8/16 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 1812% of peak ($48,456 / $2,674)0/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 40.3 entries/market
Whale
$165,167 invested
High Roller
$1,059/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,577,641$-283Vol: $353,421
📈 ECONOMICS#679,303$-1,091Vol: $37,406
SPORTS#1,739,681$-200Vol: $8,070
CRYPTO#309,226$4Vol: $204

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,570
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$399,101
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
326B / 486S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Today
$-7,355
Vol: $2,555
Week
$-7,343
Vol: $4,063
Month
$-7,754
Vol: $4,063
All Time
$-1,570
Vol: $399,101

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
12W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-1,576
Win Rate
50%
12W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.71x
Avg Win
$3,815
Avg Loss
$-5,370

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $29,818 (18.914471847961227% of PnL)

Top Winners

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$15,448
Iran leadership change by April 30?$7,351
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$7,019
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5,810
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$4,440
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1,984
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1,590
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$953
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$915
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?$160

Top Losers

US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-25,229
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-23,196
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-11,976
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,862
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$-840
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-400
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-400
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$-197
Iran leadership change by March 31?$-164
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?$-99

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.108
Sortino
-0.105
HHI
1871
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.081
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.5%
Top-5 markets
84.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 216s — normal for humanCV 2.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
40.33
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.5%
Mid (20-55c)7.4%
High (>55c)87.1%

Sessions

#12
4/9/2026, 2:02:23 AM45 trades$20,9870 min
5/2/2026, 2:19:04 PM6 trades$18,3250 min
4/7/2026, 10:59:03 PM19 trades$17,8452 min
4/7/2026, 10:42:29 AM6 trades$16,4050 min
4/30/2026, 12:42:46 PM8 trades$14,7820 min
4/19/2026, 11:45:12 PM32 trades$10,7022 min
4/7/2026, 10:54:37 AM3 trades$10,3961 min
4/20/2026, 4:22:22 AM31 trades$9,9774 min
7/30/2026, 7:30:02 AM8 trades$9,7100 min
4/28/2026, 11:18:54 PM13 trades$8,8790 min
4/29/2026, 7:07:22 AM9 trades$7,6745 min
3/23/2026, 10:13:05 PM3 trades$7,0871 min
4/10/2026, 8:07:37 AM3 trades$7,0000 min
4/7/2026, 11:19:47 PM29 trades$6,5904 min
4/24/2026, 12:10:04 AM3 trades$5,0770 min
4/9/2026, 4:44:19 AM3 trades$5,0175 min
4/20/2026, 12:21:34 AM14 trades$4,9420 min
3/27/2026, 10:12:07 AM2 trades$4,6441 min
4/3/2026, 12:55:09 PM1 trades$4,5500 min
4/3/2026, 1:49:09 PM2 trades$4,0320 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-05
03-11
03-14
03-27
04-07
04-12
04-24
04-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 24 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 40.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.5 / M7.4 / H87.1