@alexdumi13

#78,32243

0x1c1ef56e58941cf805669a792faa3c8a42dba91f

~40d· 39 markets · 156 tradesVol: $117,3292026-08-04 18:21:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

16% (6/37)0/20
1.40x (win $4,386 / loss $3,140)7.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.44115/15
Sortino 5.82710/10
$+0.1168 per $1 invested5.8/10
HHI 1627 (37 markets)4.4/10
5/22 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 85% of peak ($1,310 / $1,549)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+1,063
Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#9,334$2,815Vol: $71,186
⚽ SPORTS#1,847,146$-1,631Vol: $39,072
🎭 CULTURE#786,086$-121Vol: $7,071

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,063
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$117,329
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
74B / 82S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,063
Vol: $117,329

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
16%
6W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$1,063
Win Rate
16%
6W / 31L
Profit Factor
1.4x
Avg Win
$731
Avg Loss
$-108

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,462 (3.256709846753027% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$2,250
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?$613
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$600
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$396
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$354
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$173

Top Losers

Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$-647
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?$-622
Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?$-268
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open?$-229
Will Alexander Bublik win Wimbledon 2025?$-165
Will Jack Draper win the 2025 US Open?$-146
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?$-122
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$-116
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?$-100
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?$-87

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.125
Sortino
0.338
HHI
1279
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.115
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.6%
Top-5 markets
64.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 735s — normal for humanCV 2.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.7
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)59.5%
Mid (20-55c)39.2%
High (>55c)1.4%

Sessions

#12
12/1/2025, 8:41:40 PM2 trades$3,9450 min
12/7/2025, 5:00:43 PM3 trades$3,6432 min
12/7/2025, 5:27:05 PM2 trades$2,0022 min
5/8/2025, 7:23:53 PM1 trades$1,1550 min
4/9/2025, 9:09:23 PM1 trades$8340 min
5/19/2025, 5:57:17 AM1 trades$7440 min
7/7/2026, 10:52:31 PM19 trades$5690 min
5/2/2025, 10:44:16 AM1 trades$5180 min
5/2/2025, 10:56:31 AM1 trades$4880 min
11/5/2025, 5:54:51 AM1 trades$4540 min
4/9/2025, 3:08:23 PM2 trades$4442 min
5/28/2026, 1:22:16 PM9 trades$4243 min
6/24/2026, 8:42:13 PM5 trades$3990 min
5/28/2026, 2:11:37 PM22 trades$3980 min
6/16/2026, 4:28:05 PM3 trades$3340 min
10/29/2025, 3:19:19 PM2 trades$3023 min
4/10/2025, 1:15:35 PM1 trades$2850 min
4/19/2025, 6:39:26 PM1 trades$2840 min
4/16/2025, 9:08:38 AM1 trades$2840 min
5/18/2025, 4:29:45 PM1 trades$2790 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-04
05-19
05-31
07-06
10-09
11-04
01-25
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 169 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.7/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59.5 / M39.2 / H1.4