@alexissimmons

#534,73026

0x9eb2a3459530c9479e46713404b2d661331eb458

~50d· 40 markets · 74 tradesVol: $9722026-08-05 00:13:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (10/37)0/20
1.11x (win $20 / loss $18)3.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3727/15
Sortino 0.4584.6/10
$+0.0049 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 348 (37 markets)10/10
10/32 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 88% of peak ($15 / $17)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+7

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#194,735$7Vol: $325
📈 ECONOMICS#44,241$9Vol: $285
⚽ SPORTS#988,022$-1Vol: $192
₿ CRYPTO#710,015$-0Vol: $80
💻 TECH#169,650$-0Vol: $27
💰 FINANCE#358,265$-0Vol: $20
🎭 CULTURE#363,821$-0Vol: $16
🌤️ WEATHER#128,928$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$972
Total Redeem
$9
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
42B / 32S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$7
Vol: $972

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
10W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$7
Win Rate
27%
10W / 27L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17 (2.4699140401146127% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$8
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Japan before June?$7
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$3
US recession in 2025?$2
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?$1
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$0
Dogecoin above $0.17 on March 28?$0
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$0
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 66°F or higher on April 27?$0
Will another candidate win the Oakland mayoral race?$0

Top Losers

Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-15
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?$-1
Will the New Orleans Pelicans finish with the worst regular season record?$-1
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?$-0
TikTok sale announced before April?$-0
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?$-0
Will the next UK election be called by June 30?$-0
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?$-0
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90000 on April 4?$-0
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.019
Sortino
0.019
HHI
292
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.005
Kelly %
6.4%
Half-Kelly
3.2%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
23.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
11.4h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.49
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 53288s — normal for humanCV 0.50 — uniform order sizes28% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal8% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.78
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.4%
Mid (20-55c)4.8%
High (>55c)92.9%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2025, 11:04:11 PM3 trades$290 min
4/5/2025, 2:18:13 AM2 trades$240 min
3/9/2025, 10:24:29 AM1 trades$210 min
3/10/2025, 10:44:13 AM1 trades$200 min
3/7/2025, 6:22:55 PM1 trades$200 min
3/16/2025, 4:25:33 AM1 trades$200 min
3/21/2025, 7:04:35 AM1 trades$200 min
12/7/2025, 7:19:05 AM1 trades$190 min
3/8/2025, 9:31:11 AM1 trades$190 min
3/29/2025, 4:22:00 PM1 trades$180 min
3/30/2025, 6:02:05 PM1 trades$180 min
5/17/2026, 12:36:47 AM2 trades$150 min
5/20/2026, 8:44:33 PM2 trades$150 min
9/26/2025, 9:56:14 PM1 trades$150 min
10/3/2025, 7:33:17 PM1 trades$150 min
4/8/2025, 12:48:11 AM2 trades$150 min
4/24/2026, 2:49:54 PM2 trades$150 min
4/16/2025, 2:53:37 AM1 trades$150 min
4/16/2025, 6:22:31 PM1 trades$150 min
10/22/2025, 12:22:03 AM1 trades$150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
03-25
04-06
04-14
05-04
10-03
04-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 49 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2.7% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.4 / M4.8 / H92.9