alexsky

@alexsky

#4,47195

0x8e78878271452acb5a5be368d117baf181e7ea77

~519d· 228 markets · 16950 tradesVol: $4,345,4202026-08-04 16:21:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (171/207)20/20
3.08x (win $72,590 / loss $23,536)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.31315/15
Sortino 14.70210/10
$+0.0950 per $1 invested4.7/10
HHI 327 (207 markets)10/10
97/120 profitable days (81%)10/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($5,191 / $49,053)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 83%
Profitable
PnL $+38,635
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 85.6 entries/market
Whale
$516,567 invested
Consistent
97/120 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
23 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
92% maker orders

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,205$41,030Vol: $3,991,786
SPORTS#1,776,266$-345Vol: $148,570
🎭 CULTURE#10,195$332Vol: $31,155
📈 ECONOMICS#16,808$58Vol: $2,333
💰 FINANCE#29,536$40Vol: $1,653
CRYPTO#114,647$65Vol: $1,437

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$38,635
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,345,420
Total Redeem
$300
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
228
total markets
Trades
10576B / 6374S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~519d

Periods

#2
Today
$13
Vol: $0
Week
$60
Vol: $80
Month
$92
Vol: $190
All Time
$38,635
Vol: $4,345,420

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
171W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$38,635
Win Rate
83%
171W / 36L
Profit Factor
3.08x
Avg Win
$425
Avg Loss
$-672

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $41,835 (1.0828117898337584% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$17,823
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$14,930
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$9,081
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$3,523
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$3,129
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$2,372
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1,947
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?$1,326
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1,317
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1,184

Top Losers

Will Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?$-8,038
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?$-4,576
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?$-1,720
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$-1,623
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?$-1,239
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$-965
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-720
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-621
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$-543
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?$-485

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.173
Sortino
0.382
HHI
335
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.090
Kelly %
63.0%
Half-Kelly
31.5%
Top-1 market
7%
Top-5 markets
29.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.3m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 292s — normal for humanCV 2.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock28 trades/day — high frequency0.4 markets/day — normal92% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
85.57
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)49.2%
Mid (20-55c)29%
High (>55c)21.8%

Sessions

#12
12/7/2025, 7:52:07 PM130 trades$23,63650 min
6/1/2025, 9:03:49 PM82 trades$15,55578 min
5/4/2025, 8:48:53 PM3 trades$5,4940 min
12/2/2025, 9:56:28 AM9 trades$5,1007 min
6/3/2025, 10:55:52 AM1 trades$5,0000 min
11/5/2025, 4:31:45 PM64 trades$4,0665 min
11/17/2025, 7:36:35 AM21 trades$4,0077 min
5/4/2025, 8:05:15 PM1 trades$3,8500 min
11/15/2025, 4:21:56 PM19 trades$3,37815 min
6/1/2025, 4:35:53 PM14 trades$3,2232 min
5/9/2025, 4:19:31 PM8 trades$3,15012 min
12/7/2025, 7:25:07 PM17 trades$3,12215 min
6/2/2025, 12:27:35 AM1 trades$3,0750 min
5/6/2025, 1:47:26 PM2 trades$3,0002 min
5/9/2025, 1:03:55 PM3 trades$3,0003 min
6/1/2025, 3:50:53 PM15 trades$2,95110 min
1/18/2026, 10:45:10 PM24 trades$2,90710 min
6/1/2025, 11:46:51 PM7 trades$2,8955 min
6/1/2025, 10:27:25 PM33 trades$2,87629 min
11/28/2025, 6:16:05 PM13 trades$2,8070 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-15
06-02
08-06
10-25
01-13
03-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 73 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 85.57/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L49.2 / M29 / H21.8