@alihmt.eth

#32,32449

0x5cebbb6cdcbb2483961e8d901bf47a46a6162bdf

~328d· 410 markets · 7299 tradesVol: $1,334,425 @ylions66002026-08-04 18:34:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (179/410)6.8/20
1.15x (win $25,428 / loss $22,150)4.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.65712.3/15
Sortino 1.08310/10
$+0.0326 per $1 invested1.6/10
HHI 89 (410 markets)10/10
108/228 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 96% of peak ($5,892 / $6,151)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+3,701
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20
Whale
$100,609 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#2,013$3,628Vol: $1,205,185
🏛️ POLITICS#29,511$428Vol: $101,779
💻 TECH#3,416$256Vol: $15,999
₿ CRYPTO#1,598,524$-576Vol: $5,786
⚽ SPORTS#1,623,873$-63Vol: $4,926
📢 MENTIONS#12,359$28Vol: $223

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,701
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,334,425
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
410
total markets
Trades
4280B / 3019S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~328d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $667
All Time
$3,701
Vol: $1,334,425

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
179W / 231L events
Realized PnL
$3,701
Win Rate
44%
179W / 231L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$142
Avg Loss
$-101

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,914 (1.8678694255556547% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$2,488
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$2,411
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$2,015
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1,910
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$1,779
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$1,373
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$1,250
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 13-20?$950
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 24-31?$837
Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?$737

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$-2,145
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$-1,310
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$-1,240
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$-1,236
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$-1,060
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$-889
Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?$-725
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-644
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?$-537
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-536

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.034
Sortino
0.045
HHI
90
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.033
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
11.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 218s — normal for humanCV 2.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.8
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)61%
Mid (20-55c)26.8%
High (>55c)12.2%

Sessions

#12
1/10/2025, 9:42:40 AM2 trades$2,5032 min
1/3/2025, 10:43:11 AM7 trades$1,6589 min
12/20/2024, 1:55:42 PM1 trades$1,4350 min
1/10/2025, 1:43:09 PM1 trades$1,3510 min
7/20/2026, 3:49:33 PM28 trades$1,27310 min
7/18/2025, 12:29:46 PM10 trades$1,2594 min
1/10/2025, 4:17:26 PM7 trades$1,20410 min
1/21/2025, 5:36:11 PM4 trades$1,1793 min
7/20/2026, 5:47:04 PM20 trades$1,0861 min
7/18/2025, 12:08:26 PM8 trades$1,0467 min
8/12/2025, 3:49:36 AM22 trades$9883 min
1/3/2025, 5:21:51 AM1 trades$9790 min
7/18/2025, 11:52:50 AM24 trades$97111 min
1/3/2025, 12:42:51 AM3 trades$9702 min
1/3/2025, 11:31:29 AM1 trades$9600 min
1/3/2025, 11:17:13 AM3 trades$9600 min
1/3/2025, 11:44:45 AM1 trades$9480 min
7/2/2026, 5:03:16 PM22 trades$9214 min
7/15/2026, 1:58:34 PM19 trades$9134 min
1/8/2025, 6:21:59 PM12 trades$9095 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-06
12-06
02-07
04-14
06-13
08-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.8/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61 / M26.8 / H12.2