@alipayhk

#427,90177

0xe283f287d3758d72189cbebb005be17bf93deb13

~22d· 86 markets · 146 tradesVol: $29,5262026-08-04 22:38:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

86% (71/83)20/20
3.03x (win $36 / loss $12)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.06715/15
Sortino 15.10310/10
$+0.0016 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 2041 (83 markets)2.3/10
17/21 profitable days (81%)10/10
Max DD 46% of peak ($11 / $24)4.8/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+18
Consistent
17/21 profitable days
Win Streak
19 wins in a row

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,281,072$-7Vol: $14,185
🏛️ POLITICS#1,133,449$-5Vol: $9,319
CRYPTO#158,250$29Vol: $5,619
🎭 CULTURE#214,032$0Vol: $229
💰 FINANCE#176,356$0Vol: $125
💻 TECH#66,892$0Vol: $48

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$18
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$29,526
Total Redeem
$36
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
86
total markets
Trades
91B / 55S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$18
Vol: $29,526

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
86%
71W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$18
Win Rate
86%
71W / 12L
Profit Factor
3.03x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $33 (1.8442849254555493% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 15?$33
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 February 9-15?$0
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$0
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90,000 on May 19?$0
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$0
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0
Will Solana dip to $10 in June?$0

Top Losers

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-2
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-2
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$-2
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.157
Sortino
0.926
HHI
1926
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
84.2%
Half-Kelly
42.1%
Top-1 market
31.1%
Top-5 markets
93%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
21s
between trades
Avg Gap
19.0m
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 21s — normal for humanCV 3.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.77
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)1.1%
High (>55c)98.9%

Sessions

#12
2/3/2026, 4:12:16 AM2 trades$4,7214 min
2/3/2026, 10:24:52 AM2 trades$4,6633 min
2/3/2026, 10:41:36 AM2 trades$4,6432 min
2/3/2026, 11:32:34 AM2 trades$4,6153 min
2/3/2026, 3:53:30 AM1 trades$2,3780 min
2/3/2026, 10:08:12 AM1 trades$2,3470 min
2/3/2026, 10:13:56 AM1 trades$2,3470 min
2/3/2026, 11:06:28 AM1 trades$2,3130 min
6/4/2026, 3:19:06 AM8 trades$1071 min
3/9/2026, 3:33:19 AM8 trades$812 min
6/25/2026, 7:10:04 AM6 trades$802 min
2/10/2026, 3:04:59 AM7 trades$795 min
3/3/2026, 10:16:25 AM5 trades$711 min
4/1/2026, 3:13:25 AM10 trades$702 min
1/20/2026, 7:29:58 AM5 trades$682 min
5/15/2026, 6:44:00 AM9 trades$681 min
7/16/2026, 6:07:08 AM10 trades$621 min
6/13/2026, 7:46:13 AM3 trades$570 min
5/27/2026, 6:29:13 AM8 trades$572 min
2/5/2026, 10:34:55 AM4 trades$571 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-20
01-31
02-10
03-18
04-03
05-27
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.77/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M1.1 / H98.9