@almost-never
#2,412780x88b59d79b6e1659c95a0043028e5bb7a26e6205c
~384d· 319 markets · 10830 tradesVol: $11,795,7182026-08-05 15:51:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
70% (219/315)19.8/20
1.64x (win $672,521 / loss $408,971)10.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.88615/15
Sortino 3.53310/10
$+0.0630 per $1 invested3.2/10
HHI 358 (315 markets)10/10
114/167 profitable days (68%)9.6/10
Max DD 76% of peak ($199,601 / $263,549)0/10
Badges
9Sniper
Win rate 70%
Profitable
PnL $+77,849
DCA Master
Avg 39.4 entries/market
Whale
$4,182,531 invested
Consistent
114/167 profitable days
High Roller
$5,033/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#511$100,329Vol: $10,748,153
🎭 CULTURE#819,100$-18,535Vol: $392,741
⚽ SPORTS#11,457$3,960Vol: $73,032
📈 ECONOMICS#681,895$-3,136Vol: $21,672
💰 FINANCE#29,125$40Vol: $20,000
₿ CRYPTO#47,928$396Vol: $2,100
Overview
#1Net PnL
$77,849
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,795,718
Total Redeem
$88,183
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
319
total markets
Trades
7886B / 2944S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~384d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$3
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$77,849
Vol: $11,795,718
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
70%
219W / 96L events
Realized PnL
$77,849
Win Rate
70%
219W / 96L
Profit Factor
1.64x
Avg Win
$3,071
Avg Loss
$-4,701
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $261,727 (3.3619690399311177% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$112,814
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$75,585
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$73,328
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$57,819
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$32,314
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$18,929
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$15,094
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?$14,077
Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?$14,040
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?$12,964
Top Losers
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-85,460
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$-48,840
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?$-26,651
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$-25,623
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House$-18,154
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$-16,510
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$-15,758
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$-13,764
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-12,990
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$-10,976
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.098
Sortino
0.111
HHI
505
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.053
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13%
Top-5 markets
44.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
13.0
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.4m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
32.5
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — normal for humanCV 4.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active0.4 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
39.41
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)10.4%
Mid (20-55c)26.3%
High (>55c)63.3%
Sessions
#126/25/2025, 12:07:07 AM77 trades$123,65428 min
6/8/2026, 7:03:25 AM74 trades$122,60324 min
9/8/2024, 9:43:35 AM4 trades$107,7519 min
6/3/2025, 11:27:06 AM19 trades$79,89611 min
4/12/2026, 5:02:01 PM168 trades$74,67920 min
6/1/2025, 10:22:47 PM120 trades$73,89176 min
11/2/2024, 10:52:13 PM10 trades$63,89017 min
9/30/2024, 3:45:49 PM1 trades$62,8750 min
6/1/2025, 8:54:15 PM102 trades$61,12264 min
9/12/2024, 2:00:40 AM11 trades$59,3667 min
10/19/2025, 11:48:53 PM38 trades$58,2716 min
4/12/2026, 7:29:05 PM31 trades$57,7788 min
10/30/2025, 1:33:39 PM1 trades$54,0310 min
9/12/2024, 11:21:37 AM6 trades$50,7936 min
1/31/2026, 7:37:40 AM4 trades$49,6892 min
9/12/2024, 1:50:08 AM2 trades$49,5000 min
8/16/2024, 2:37:18 PM1 trades$49,3860 min
5/22/2025, 10:08:07 AM14 trades$49,2289 min
9/12/2024, 1:41:19 PM1 trades$47,7450 min
3/10/2026, 9:59:33 AM18 trades$46,0027 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-20
09-18
11-29
04-19
07-10
12-30
06-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 243 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 39.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.4 / M26.3 / H63.3