alone.couch

@alone.couch

#2,398,56320

0x377513379a1314b1f26cc2f87ac394b0fc905493

~61d· 76 markets · 135 tradesVol: $12,826 @alone_couch2026-08-05 02:45:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (32/74)6.6/20
0.60x (win $477 / loss $790)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6470/15
Sortino -4.0470/10
$-0.2333 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 391 (74 markets)10/10
24/54 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 454% of peak ($402 / $89)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
72% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

4
SPORTS#167,230$49Vol: $10,505
CRYPTO#1,524,328$-175Vol: $1,157
🎭 CULTURE#656,554$-6Vol: $401
🏛️ POLITICS#1,192,133$-6Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-58
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,826
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
96B / 39S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~61d

Periods

#2
Week
$-3
Vol: $23
Month
$-16
Vol: $110
All Time
$-58
Vol: $12,826

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
32W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$-58
Win Rate
43%
32W / 42L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-19

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $100 (1.7307157748436415% of PnL)

Top Winners

Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?$41
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$31
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$28
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$27
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva$19
Will Barcelona beat Real Madrid?$19
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$18
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz$18
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?$17
Australian Open: Alcaraz vs. Djokovic$17

Top Losers

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-80
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-80
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-80
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?$-60
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$-50
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-32
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-29
Will Solana dip to $140 by February 28 2025?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.189
Sortino
-0.211
HHI
432
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.196
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9%
Top-5 markets
35.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 154s — normal for humanCV 0.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.23
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25%
Mid (20-55c)46.9%
High (>55c)28.1%

Sessions

#12
4/6/2026, 11:39:07 PM13 trades$1604 min
11/21/2025, 1:02:49 PM1 trades$810 min
11/22/2025, 7:38:43 PM2 trades$811 min
11/25/2025, 4:10:31 PM1 trades$790 min
8/1/2026, 5:39:20 PM8 trades$711 min
7/12/2026, 1:08:26 AM8 trades$610 min
1/9/2026, 11:58:46 PM1 trades$600 min
3/18/2026, 4:40:23 PM1 trades$500 min
6/19/2026, 3:54:22 PM4 trades$482 min
6/13/2026, 8:35:45 PM2 trades$460 min
6/18/2026, 8:12:26 PM4 trades$431 min
6/22/2026, 9:15:19 PM2 trades$410 min
11/20/2025, 1:24:13 PM1 trades$410 min
6/17/2026, 7:59:49 PM4 trades$401 min
2/22/2025, 1:57:34 AM1 trades$340 min
4/7/2025, 8:34:03 PM2 trades$333 min
6/20/2026, 1:06:35 AM2 trades$320 min
6/13/2026, 7:58:34 PM2 trades$300 min
10/16/2025, 2:47:29 PM2 trades$302 min
7/16/2026, 12:07:44 AM2 trades$300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-21
04-10
06-08
10-21
12-12
06-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 216 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.23/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L25 / M46.9 / H28.1