@alphainvesting

#169,46236

0xbd50c30cc377b4ea9e16cc3fbbf943ba62213bb1

~72d· 82 markets · 173 tradesVol: $13,129 @ZyrahCox2026-08-04 19:57:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (45/69)17.6/20
0.31x (win $183 / loss $592)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5050/15
Sortino -2.5510/10
$-0.0524 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 380 (69 markets)10/10
32/51 profitable days (63%)8.2/10
Max DD 411% of peak ($540 / $131)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 65%
Profitable
PnL $+213
Consistent
32/51 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

5
CRYPTO#92,691$103Vol: $7,879
SPORTS#104,563$137Vol: $1,806
💰 FINANCE#70,657$6Vol: $1,485
🏛️ POLITICS#1,411,937$-28Vol: $1,151
📈 ECONOMICS#564,362$-5Vol: $808

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$213
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,129
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
82
total markets
Trades
110B / 63S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~72d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$3
Vol: $181
Month
$7
Vol: $181
All Time
$213
Vol: $13,129

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
45W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$213
Win Rate
65%
45W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.31x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $142 (0.6681081081081081% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?$93
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?$36
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)$13
Suns vs. Thunder$10
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$7
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$4
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$2
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 22?$2
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?$2
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?$2

Top Losers

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-368
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-56
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-45
US government shutdown Saturday?$-39
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-18
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-16
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$-9
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-20?$-9
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$-9
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.130
Sortino
-0.079
HHI
230
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.061
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.3%
Top-5 markets
21.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 688s — normal for humanCV 1.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.9
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.5%
Mid (20-55c)10.9%
High (>55c)73.6%

Sessions

#12
1/9/2026, 5:16:26 PM2 trades$5342 min
3/19/2026, 5:07:27 PM2 trades$3073 min
3/19/2026, 8:16:35 PM2 trades$2854 min
7/19/2026, 9:24:30 AM2 trades$2730 min
1/11/2026, 6:37:44 PM3 trades$2688 min
12/30/2025, 9:47:09 AM1 trades$2670 min
1/7/2026, 7:36:05 AM1 trades$2670 min
12/28/2025, 11:56:31 AM1 trades$2670 min
1/3/2026, 8:17:39 PM2 trades$2675 min
4/10/2026, 6:10:45 AM5 trades$2431 min
1/30/2026, 2:07:42 PM1 trades$2340 min
1/13/2026, 2:28:37 PM1 trades$2300 min
1/14/2026, 4:45:14 PM1 trades$2300 min
1/16/2026, 11:26:24 AM1 trades$2300 min
3/11/2026, 5:35:47 PM2 trades$2114 min
3/16/2026, 8:27:51 AM1 trades$2080 min
4/10/2026, 5:41:47 AM5 trades$1914 min
7/6/2026, 8:14:29 PM1 trades$1860 min
7/18/2026, 8:25:00 AM1 trades$1850 min
7/18/2026, 7:23:51 PM1 trades$1830 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
11-26
12-20
01-11
02-14
03-16
06-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 190 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.5 / M10.9 / H73.6