altaironmission

@altaironmission

#52,09614

0xd18de01d75359283acae382168d985323d3ae7b4

~126d· 199 markets · 884 tradesVol: $102,614 @CR_Pal02026-08-05 17:34:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (57/164)2.4/20
0.91x (win $3,280 / loss $3,606)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6690/15
Sortino -1.0420/10
$-0.0189 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 486 (164 markets)10/10
26/79 profitable days (33%)0.7/10
Max DD 167% of peak ($1,414 / $849)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+2,016
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
CRYPTO#20,943$1,939Vol: $72,437
SPORTS#77,332$265Vol: $21,975
🏛️ POLITICS#1,548,526$-152Vol: $5,417
💰 FINANCE#592,415$-18Vol: $1,718
🎭 CULTURE#704,419$-13Vol: $856
📈 ECONOMICS#597,856$-10Vol: $189
📢 MENTIONS#113,994$-5Vol: $23

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,007
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$102,614
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
199
total markets
Trades
525B / 359S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~126d

Periods

#2
Today
$44
Vol: $0
Week
$59
Vol: $0
Month
$153
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,007
Vol: $102,614

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
57W / 107L events
Realized PnL
$2,016
Win Rate
35%
57W / 107L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$58
Avg Loss
$-34

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $955 (0.47370666349192175% of PnL)

Top Winners

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$513
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?$239
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?$203
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?$190
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-02-09?$169
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)$162
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1)$143
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?$131
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?$93
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings$83

Top Losers

o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-328
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?$-283
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?$-245
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$-152
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?$-150
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)$-148
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 4)$-134
Fluent FDV above $50M one day after launch?$-130
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensik$-125
Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?$-121

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.035
Sortino
-0.055
HHI
100
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
16.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
24.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1486s — normal for humanCV 2.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.86
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42.7%
Mid (20-55c)39%
High (>55c)18.3%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 9:24:33 AM19 trades$2,8705 min
4/8/2026, 8:54:55 AM2 trades$2,5000 min
2/11/2026, 11:30:37 AM4 trades$1,0248 min
4/24/2026, 4:10:06 PM6 trades$8370 min
4/24/2026, 4:03:02 PM3 trades$8220 min
2/19/2026, 12:34:12 PM2 trades$6143 min
7/27/2026, 10:02:58 AM14 trades$5691 min
4/3/2026, 6:20:41 PM5 trades$5480 min
2/19/2026, 9:16:28 AM1 trades$5100 min
2/11/2026, 3:55:31 PM2 trades$5061 min
2/19/2026, 8:35:48 AM1 trades$5000 min
4/9/2026, 11:37:39 AM10 trades$4931 min
5/9/2026, 7:25:02 PM9 trades$4714 min
2/19/2026, 4:20:12 PM1 trades$4500 min
2/19/2026, 3:59:06 PM1 trades$4500 min
2/19/2026, 12:48:08 PM1 trades$4480 min
2/17/2026, 8:42:09 AM1 trades$4210 min
6/24/2026, 8:28:22 PM16 trades$3775 min
2/17/2026, 6:55:25 AM1 trades$3660 min
4/24/2026, 2:56:46 PM10 trades$3505 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-18
12-29
02-07
02-22
03-27
04-18
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 115 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.86/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.7 / M39 / H18.3