@alwaysbear
#2,891,165400xe4b6e9e514f2f2e1c73bf59290f10acc7f0689a5
~63d· 248 markets · 678 tradesVol: $28,8942026-08-05 01:11:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
67% (150/225)18.3/20
1.01x (win $2,754 / loss $2,719)2.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0601.1/15
Sortino 0.0670.7/10
$+0.0015 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 560 (225 markets)9.7/10
32/55 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 112% of peak ($1,308 / $1,169)0/10
Badges
2Sniper
Win rate 67%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,610,591$-863Vol: $16,258
₿ CRYPTO#112,970$68Vol: $9,431
💻 TECH#10,908$30Vol: $1,193
💰 FINANCE#55,859$10Vol: $1,092
📢 MENTIONS#21,801$8Vol: $481
📈 ECONOMICS#25,281$26Vol: $232
🎭 CULTURE#67,082$10Vol: $206
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-710
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,894
Total Redeem
$61
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
248
total markets
Trades
393B / 285S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~63d
Periods
#2Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-6
Vol: $0
Month
$3
Vol: $0
All Time
$-710
Vol: $28,894
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
67%
150W / 75L events
Realized PnL
$-710
Win Rate
67%
150W / 75L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-41
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $504 (0.7093427553878855% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$193
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$162
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$149
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$144
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$141
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$128
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$110
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$96
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$67
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$64
Top Losers
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-1,308
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$-340
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-240
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-200
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$-200
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$-40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$-30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 18?$-20
Ethereum Up or Down on February 2?$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.003
Sortino
0.002
HHI
319
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.4%
Top-5 markets
34.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 225s — normal for humanCV 2.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.88
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4.1%
Mid (20-55c)25.2%
High (>55c)70.7%
Sessions
#127/29/2026, 5:36:57 AM14 trades$2,4405 min
6/4/2026, 1:26:22 AM4 trades$2,1430 min
6/4/2026, 1:40:16 AM2 trades$2,1400 min
7/23/2026, 1:49:12 PM6 trades$1,9000 min
4/2/2026, 8:18:41 AM23 trades$1,4640 min
6/5/2026, 2:23:28 PM10 trades$1,4358 min
4/27/2026, 8:34:20 AM4 trades$9002 min
5/1/2026, 10:11:52 AM19 trades$8537 min
4/22/2026, 11:00:06 AM21 trades$72310 min
3/21/2026, 1:12:43 PM3 trades$6992 min
4/23/2026, 1:35:48 PM5 trades$6970 min
5/2/2026, 1:35:04 PM4 trades$6660 min
4/27/2026, 9:00:40 AM2 trades$6110 min
3/20/2026, 4:07:25 AM3 trades$6001 min
5/1/2026, 10:32:32 AM5 trades$5923 min
5/15/2026, 11:17:03 AM15 trades$5306 min
5/13/2026, 2:18:00 PM29 trades$51821 min
3/19/2026, 11:04:57 AM2 trades$5104 min
6/1/2026, 4:51:53 PM5 trades$4811 min
5/6/2026, 6:48:06 AM10 trades$4475 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-17
01-31
03-17
04-23
05-06
06-05
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.1 / M25.2 / H70.7