@ambrose.cky

#3,028,52111

0xaf1f55d2ec5ede0dc4d6da0143514f4a1de1ede0

~42d· 37 markets · 643 tradesVol: $225,1412026-08-04 15:05:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (12/33)3.2/20
0.69x (win $7,998 / loss $11,557)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6760/15
Sortino -2.3310/10
$-0.1573 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 921 (33 markets)7.9/10
6/21 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 180% of peak ($10,276 / $5,697)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,863,498$-2,931Vol: $211,244
🌤️ WEATHER#295,781$-565Vol: $6,712
📈 ECONOMICS#652,921$-65Vol: $3,243
🏛️ POLITICS#64,426$99Vol: $2,150
💰 FINANCE#22,024$69Vol: $1,491
💻 TECH#231,814$-15Vol: $302

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,408
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$225,141
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
305B / 338S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,408
Vol: $225,141

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
12W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-3,408
Win Rate
36%
12W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$667
Avg Loss
$-680

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,345 (1.8618240933379893% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3,428
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$1,897
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1,020
Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League final?$374
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$365
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$228
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$227
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$203
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$94
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$88

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,900
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-3,952
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?$-536
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?$-504
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-343
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-218
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$-160
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 23?$-160
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$-137
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-124

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.086
Sortino
-0.106
HHI
2348
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.096
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.7%
Top-5 markets
96%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 135s — normal for humanCV 2.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
25.97
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)58%
Mid (20-55c)19.7%
High (>55c)22.3%

Sessions

#12
5/6/2026, 3:37:50 PM34 trades$6,6874 min
6/8/2026, 9:15:45 AM3 trades$4,0710 min
6/14/2026, 6:12:30 AM8 trades$3,2981 min
7/1/2026, 6:08:28 AM2 trades$2,5010 min
7/25/2026, 7:30:00 AM17 trades$2,1981 min
6/10/2026, 2:50:55 PM6 trades$2,1212 min
7/8/2026, 6:46:07 AM38 trades$1,9957 min
7/7/2026, 5:37:53 PM8 trades$1,9930 min
6/10/2026, 3:24:39 PM5 trades$1,9621 min
7/25/2026, 3:13:07 PM8 trades$1,2171 min
7/4/2026, 9:39:02 AM7 trades$1,0803 min
6/23/2026, 3:50:58 PM5 trades$9950 min
7/21/2026, 3:05:48 PM32 trades$89215 min
7/29/2026, 6:13:20 PM2 trades$8300 min
7/18/2026, 6:20:00 AM37 trades$73018 min
4/8/2026, 8:03:09 PM21 trades$6630 min
3/19/2026, 5:07:27 PM1 trades$6570 min
7/28/2026, 6:49:58 AM3 trades$6300 min
7/11/2026, 9:46:44 PM13 trades$6060 min
7/6/2026, 1:12:01 PM7 trades$5900 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-08
04-08
05-06
06-23
07-04
07-11
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 78 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
9.1% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.97/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L58 / M19.7 / H22.3