@anhydride

#2,893,7177

0xddca3cd24e364c330c5193b031cf509afbab0969

~4d· 29 markets · 204 tradesVol: $150,2152026-08-04 20:39:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (8/28)0/20
0.08x (win $46 / loss $582)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.1871 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1043 (28 markets)7.3/10
0/4 profitable days (0%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($536 / $0)0/10

Categories

6
SPORTS#159,429$54Vol: $133,012
🌤️ WEATHER#284,754$-98Vol: $7,906
💻 TECH#246,293$-65Vol: $4,093
CRYPTO#1,493,528$-120Vol: $3,064
💰 FINANCE#649,715$-491Vol: $1,801
🏛️ POLITICS#1,297,459$-11Vol: $219

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-730
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$150,215
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
62B / 142S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~4d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
8W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-730
Win Rate
29%
8W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.08x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-65

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $40 (0.054929403870119554% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$31
Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan$5
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?$4
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$3
Wimbledon ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jaime Faria$2
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$1
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$1
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$0

Top Losers

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-235
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?$-116
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-70
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-63
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-55
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$-20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$-20
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.853
Sortino
-0.853
HHI
1142
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.149
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.7%
Top-5 markets
63.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
40.8
Active
Markets / Day
5.8
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.0m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
26
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 122s — normal for humanCV 1.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule41 trades/day — high frequency5.8 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.71
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.6%
Mid (20-55c)4.8%
High (>55c)72.6%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 6:37:14 PM4 trades$8920 min
6/30/2026, 5:23:13 AM15 trades$8214 min
6/30/2026, 12:09:01 PM17 trades$6810 min
6/30/2026, 6:25:58 PM36 trades$5093 min
6/30/2026, 3:00:50 PM12 trades$3861 min
6/30/2026, 9:52:07 AM16 trades$3841 min
6/29/2026, 8:30:34 PM15 trades$3670 min
6/30/2026, 11:30:47 AM10 trades$3303 min
6/30/2026, 10:00:44 AM4 trades$3060 min
6/29/2026, 6:51:55 PM11 trades$2788 min
7/1/2026, 6:54:31 AM6 trades$2050 min
6/30/2026, 10:41:37 AM2 trades$2000 min
6/30/2026, 10:55:19 AM3 trades$1980 min
6/30/2026, 5:42:34 AM13 trades$1728 min
7/1/2026, 6:46:11 AM6 trades$1510 min
6/29/2026, 9:51:35 PM6 trades$1222 min
6/30/2026, 1:27:32 PM2 trades$1010 min
6/29/2026, 7:11:47 PM4 trades$922 min
6/30/2026, 6:45:34 AM6 trades$603 min
6/30/2026, 11:05:58 AM3 trades$530 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-29
06-30
07-01
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.71/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.6 / M4.8 / H72.6