@aodommon

#117,6829

0xd75fdaba87c66c4bcd1a860f124a3098609f497e

~10d· 19 markets · 95 tradesVol: $17,4542026-08-04 19:18:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (4/19)0/20
0.37x (win $773 / loss $2,117)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.7960/15
Sortino -6.9970/10
$-0.5143 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1201 (19 markets)6.5/10
4/10 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 825% of peak ($1,529 / $185)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+484

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#54,060$552Vol: $16,704
🏛️ POLITICS#1,489,948$-68Vol: $750

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$484
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,454
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
49B / 46S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
4W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$484
Win Rate
21%
4W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$193
Avg Loss
$-176

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $758 (1.5643619547040484% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$475
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$253
Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5$29
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$15

Top Losers

Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?$-564
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal?$-362
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-268
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?$-200
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Canada?$-177
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?$-161
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5$-100
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?$-69
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$-68
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Senegal?$-60

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.338
Sortino
-0.378
HHI
1083
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.489
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.2%
Top-5 markets
63%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
6/24
Normal
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
26
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 289s — normal for humanCV 1.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern6/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.37
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.4%
Mid (20-55c)22.4%
High (>55c)57.1%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 9:00:17 PM9 trades$2,0220 min
6/22/2026, 6:58:49 PM5 trades$7930 min
6/16/2026, 7:46:10 PM8 trades$5345 min
6/19/2026, 4:17:49 PM2 trades$4550 min
6/16/2026, 8:52:23 PM3 trades$4450 min
6/13/2026, 8:26:24 PM5 trades$4365 min
7/15/2026, 8:12:59 PM10 trades$3471 min
6/12/2026, 7:58:57 PM8 trades$3471 min
6/20/2026, 8:50:41 AM1 trades$2920 min
6/18/2026, 9:16:55 PM2 trades$2740 min
6/13/2026, 8:47:42 PM5 trades$21010 min
6/19/2026, 4:54:05 PM4 trades$2070 min
6/15/2026, 6:39:15 PM2 trades$1920 min
7/15/2026, 7:31:59 PM2 trades$1600 min
6/15/2026, 9:05:16 PM7 trades$1341 min
6/24/2026, 7:35:40 PM5 trades$1075 min
6/22/2026, 6:37:49 PM2 trades$910 min
6/12/2026, 8:47:15 PM4 trades$890 min
6/22/2026, 6:29:13 PM3 trades$740 min
6/24/2026, 7:22:25 PM2 trades$700 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-13
06-15
06-16
06-18
06-19
06-20
06-22
06-24
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 33 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.37/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.4 / M22.4 / H57.1