@apostadormil

#174,68927

0xbebe06983927e870b2063390ddbebd83769572e1

~99d· 149 markets · 2007 tradesVol: $358,3662026-08-04 21:52:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (64/129)9.8/20
0.99x (win $30,724 / loss $30,989)2.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0500/15
Sortino -0.0710/10
$-0.0024 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 356 (129 markets)10/10
34/68 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 142% of peak ($9,608 / $6,748)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+199
Contrarian
66% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 17.6 entries/market
Whale
$110,676 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,624,998$-1,947Vol: $232,159
SPORTS#10,840$4,197Vol: $78,010
📈 ECONOMICS#681,264$-2,438Vol: $30,714
💰 FINANCE#3,608$1,222Vol: $8,093
🎭 CULTURE#13,132$220Vol: $4,001
📢 MENTIONS#5,647$112Vol: $400
CRYPTO#1,088,072$-7Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$199
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$358,366
Total Redeem
$577
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
149
total markets
Trades
1545B / 462S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~99d

Periods

#2
Today
$17
Vol: $0
Week
$-52
Vol: $0
Month
$-98
Vol: $0
All Time
$199
Vol: $358,366

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
64W / 65L events
Realized PnL
$199
Win Rate
50%
64W / 65L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$480
Avg Loss
$-484

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,714 (58.948467616124% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,248
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,072
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$3,394
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$2,295
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1,624
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$1,614
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1,410
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1,137
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$1,043
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$909

Top Losers

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-4,008
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-3,087
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?$-2,527
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-2,253
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-2,136
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-1,925
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-1,745
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-1,690
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$-1,680
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$-1,680

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.003
Sortino
-0.003
HHI
473
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.2%
Top-5 markets
39.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 210s — normal for humanCV 4.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.64
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30%
Mid (20-55c)35.6%
High (>55c)34.4%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 1:40:53 AM8 trades$9,3930 min
6/9/2026, 1:51:07 AM25 trades$8,9950 min
4/7/2026, 11:42:03 PM33 trades$5,9412 min
6/11/2026, 3:18:30 AM5 trades$5,2190 min
3/1/2026, 8:28:45 PM4 trades$4,2518 min
4/11/2026, 2:02:03 PM7 trades$3,9724 min
4/7/2026, 11:33:51 PM32 trades$3,9013 min
3/2/2026, 8:57:51 PM3 trades$3,6684 min
6/19/2026, 12:36:37 AM7 trades$3,6290 min
5/14/2026, 11:19:42 PM7 trades$2,8470 min
3/1/2026, 1:58:49 AM8 trades$2,68215 min
3/2/2026, 9:30:45 PM5 trades$2,6202 min
4/7/2026, 11:04:15 PM7 trades$2,6011 min
4/11/2026, 1:41:53 PM10 trades$2,4870 min
4/3/2026, 2:38:41 AM36 trades$2,4468 min
6/16/2026, 10:16:05 PM4 trades$2,3760 min
6/24/2026, 11:35:23 PM1 trades$2,3400 min
6/17/2026, 1:39:41 AM1 trades$2,1510 min
3/3/2026, 9:16:35 PM2 trades$1,9971 min
5/23/2026, 8:40:18 PM26 trades$1,9419 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-11
03-05
03-22
04-08
05-15
06-12
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.64/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L30 / M35.6 / H34.4