@arcaneaqua
#1,957,450360x9a9447762302592b5419f9d07214247813565c49
~22d· 63 markets · 389 tradesVol: $30,1802026-08-04 22:59:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
73% (16/22)20/20
0.03x (win $152 / loss $5,310)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.1380/15
Sortino -4.9620/10
$-0.1771 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1207 (22 markets)6.5/10
10/14 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 26805% of peak ($5,307 / $20)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 73%
DCA Master
Avg 10.0 entries/market
Consistent
10/14 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Categories
6⚽ SPORTS#1,329,466$-9Vol: $20,169
🏛️ POLITICS#1,021,620$-2Vol: $4,787
🎭 CULTURE#558,627$-1Vol: $2,985
💰 FINANCE#473,546$-1Vol: $2,148
₿ CRYPTO#649,174$0Vol: $61
📈 ECONOMICS#313,462$-0Vol: $31
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-14
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$30,180
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
63
total markets
Trades
186B / 203S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $205
Month
$-0
Vol: $205
All Time
$-14
Vol: $30,180
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
73%
16W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-14
Win Rate
73%
16W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.03x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-1,062
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $108 (7.514961725817677% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$54
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$39
Will Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$15
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13
Will Poland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$12
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$6
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$1
Will Hubert Hurkacz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$1
Top Losers
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,309
Will Taylor Pendrith win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-1
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
Will Fred Couples win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-0
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.259
Sortino
-0.139
HHI
954
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.204
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.2%
Top-5 markets
62.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.3m
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 472s — normal for humanCV 1.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.95
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)96.8%
Sessions
#126/13/2026, 11:09:12 PM4 trades$1,1200 min
6/14/2026, 11:20:03 PM2 trades$1,1090 min
6/13/2026, 2:17:31 AM2 trades$1,0860 min
6/15/2026, 12:01:43 AM2 trades$1,0790 min
6/15/2026, 1:41:49 AM2 trades$1,0790 min
6/13/2026, 2:44:36 AM7 trades$1,0740 min
6/14/2026, 12:46:07 AM2 trades$1,0670 min
6/13/2026, 1:19:42 AM2 trades$1,0590 min
6/13/2026, 1:54:33 AM2 trades$1,0580 min
6/13/2026, 2:30:36 AM2 trades$1,0290 min
6/14/2026, 12:26:39 AM2 trades$1,0260 min
6/13/2026, 1:47:46 AM2 trades$8170 min
6/13/2026, 11:30:22 PM5 trades$8050 min
6/14/2026, 11:47:58 PM2 trades$7860 min
5/3/2026, 12:12:38 AM2 trades$7830 min
5/2/2026, 11:43:50 PM5 trades$7590 min
5/1/2026, 3:55:34 AM5 trades$7370 min
5/1/2026, 3:27:52 AM4 trades$7190 min
4/30/2026, 11:34:18 AM2 trades$6840 min
5/2/2026, 11:00:38 PM2 trades$6720 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
04-01
05-01
05-03
06-14
06-16
07-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.2 / M0 / H96.8