@arcaneglacier

#1,992,43876

0xeb30569e05c756b0367546b4755860091c0407ad

~21d· 55 markets · 359 tradesVol: $32,0422026-08-04 19:18:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (9/14)17.1/20
86.52x (win $38 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 11.51715/15
Sortino 776.41310/10
$+0.0012 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 2660 (14 markets)0/10
6/9 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 1% of peak ($0 / $37)10/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 64%
DCA Master
Avg 8.9 entries/market
Consistent
6/9 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 1%

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,240,744$-8Vol: $16,856
⚽ SPORTS#1,145,982$-3Vol: $6,625
🎭 CULTURE#537,011$-1Vol: $2,167
₿ CRYPTO#852,342$-1Vol: $2,057
💰 FINANCE#471,129$-1Vol: $2,054
📈 ECONOMICS#377,973$-0Vol: $313

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$32,042
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
55
total markets
Trades
174B / 185S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $176
Month
$-2
Vol: $176
All Time
$-16
Vol: $32,042

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
9W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-16
Win Rate
64%
9W / 5L
Profit Factor
87.4x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $28 (1.731829573934837% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?$16
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?$6
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?$6
Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$5
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?$2
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?$0
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?$0

Top Losers

Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in March?$-0
Will Kim Byeong-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$-0
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in April 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.568
Sortino
194.638
HHI
290
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
49.3%
Half-Kelly
24.6%
Top-1 market
12.4%
Top-5 markets
35.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
42.4m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 499s — normal for humanCV 1.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.86
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.6%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)95.4%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 6:01:10 PM2 trades$1,9480 min
6/16/2026, 5:39:11 PM2 trades$1,8380 min
6/18/2026, 7:20:23 AM2 trades$1,0170 min
6/16/2026, 5:25:49 PM2 trades$1,0030 min
6/16/2026, 5:11:16 PM2 trades$9840 min
5/23/2026, 3:38:59 AM2 trades$9770 min
5/22/2026, 5:14:41 AM2 trades$9730 min
5/23/2026, 3:17:39 AM2 trades$9660 min
6/17/2026, 1:33:47 PM2 trades$9620 min
6/16/2026, 4:17:50 PM2 trades$9610 min
6/18/2026, 7:04:25 AM2 trades$9580 min
5/21/2026, 2:16:16 PM2 trades$9510 min
5/22/2026, 5:53:34 AM4 trades$9440 min
5/22/2026, 11:01:38 PM2 trades$9420 min
6/17/2026, 1:04:13 PM2 trades$9390 min
5/22/2026, 4:56:38 AM2 trades$9350 min
6/17/2026, 1:20:08 PM2 trades$9310 min
6/17/2026, 12:07:40 PM2 trades$9190 min
5/24/2026, 1:13:29 PM2 trades$9150 min
6/17/2026, 12:49:02 PM2 trades$9100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-02
04-07
05-22
05-24
05-26
06-16
06-17
06-24
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.86/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.6 / M0 / H95.4