@arcjuice
#259,33970x0ef90ab025120990799eeac12cd822f595378f58
~19d· 62 markets · 215 tradesVol: $10,5102026-08-05 02:23:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
27% (14/52)0/20
0.31x (win $160 / loss $520)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.6530/15
Sortino -7.2130/10
$-0.2827 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1124 (52 markets)6.9/10
3/11 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 5165% of peak ($366 / $7)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+84
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
Categories
7₿ CRYPTO#322,618$3Vol: $6,381
📈 ECONOMICS#23,879$29Vol: $1,945
🏛️ POLITICS#312,835$1Vol: $940
💰 FINANCE#19,120$91Vol: $670
🌤️ WEATHER#270,893$-35Vol: $271
🎭 CULTURE#664,441$-7Vol: $269
📢 MENTIONS#35,292$2Vol: $33
Overview
#1Net PnL
$85
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,510
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
62
total markets
Trades
79B / 136S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-11
Vol: $236
Month
$-34
Vol: $236
All Time
$85
Vol: $10,510
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
27%
14W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$85
Win Rate
27%
14W / 38L
Profit Factor
0.31x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-15
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $106 (1.2528994082840235% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$44
Solana Up or Down - July 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$10
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$4
Top Losers
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-309
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-99
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-51
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$-2
Solana Up or Down - July 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$-2
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$-2
Solana Up or Down - July 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$-2
Solana Up or Down - July 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9AM ET$-2
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.382
Sortino
-0.316
HHI
591
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.452
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.7%
Top-5 markets
51.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.3h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3822s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal1.7 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.35
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)36.7%
Mid (20-55c)32.9%
High (>55c)30.4%
Sessions
#127/22/2026, 8:57:04 AM2 trades$1720 min
7/27/2026, 6:25:01 PM4 trades$1710 min
7/25/2026, 10:30:49 AM2 trades$1670 min
7/22/2026, 10:43:58 AM5 trades$1620 min
7/23/2026, 10:24:36 AM2 trades$1540 min
7/23/2026, 8:20:37 PM10 trades$1160 min
7/28/2026, 11:18:34 PM4 trades$1150 min
7/26/2026, 6:29:58 AM2 trades$1140 min
7/25/2026, 6:38:49 PM2 trades$1100 min
7/22/2026, 10:28:16 AM2 trades$1010 min
7/2/2026, 11:12:46 AM9 trades$852 min
7/26/2026, 7:00:40 PM4 trades$840 min
7/22/2026, 2:28:13 PM3 trades$770 min
7/24/2026, 5:12:27 PM5 trades$740 min
7/28/2026, 9:32:05 AM4 trades$740 min
7/30/2026, 2:34:14 AM2 trades$630 min
7/31/2026, 2:26:08 PM2 trades$630 min
7/23/2026, 7:47:31 PM3 trades$620 min
7/22/2026, 6:26:55 PM3 trades$600 min
7/21/2026, 7:06:04 PM3 trades$600 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-30
07-01
07-02
07-03
07-04
07-22
07-23
07-24
07-26
07-27
07-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 25 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.35/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L36.7 / M32.9 / H30.4