@arfarfarf

#2,902,80515

0x3ea8b0f38eac1beb7169f3b2d875bff48c426256

~28d· 745 markets · 3822 tradesVol: $50,9332026-08-04 20:21:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (270/689)4.6/20
0.82x (win $6,000 / loss $7,329)0.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.7020/15
Sortino -7.3210/10
$-0.1520 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 49 (689 markets)10/10
5/16 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,365 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,606,411$-732Vol: $49,678
🏛️ POLITICS#1,202,013$-7Vol: $886
SPORTS#1,612,725$-58Vol: $287
💰 FINANCE#428,795$-1Vol: $48
🎭 CULTURE#594,944$-2Vol: $27
📈 ECONOMICS#196,958$0Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-799
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,933
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
745
total markets
Trades
1590B / 2232S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

Periods

#2
Today
$-11
Vol: $407
Week
$-19
Vol: $1,213
Month
$-22
Vol: $1,283
All Time
$-799
Vol: $50,933

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
270W / 419L events
Realized PnL
$-800
Win Rate
39%
270W / 419L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $713 (0.8906986337329217% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$340
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$188
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$184
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$169
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$123
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$115
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$114
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$99
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$96
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$95

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$-102
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$-97
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$-93
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$-89
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?$-84
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$-83
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$-70
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$-65
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$-64
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$-61

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.390
Sortino
-0.361
HHI
24
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.161
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
4.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
37.1
Active
Markets / Day
7.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.8m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
25.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 261s — normal for humanCV 1.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock37 trades/day — high frequency7.2 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.1
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.2%
Mid (20-55c)34.9%
High (>55c)28.9%

Sessions

#12
4/24/2026, 3:07:52 PM17 trades$9785 min
4/24/2026, 4:22:46 PM27 trades$78515 min
4/24/2026, 3:23:16 PM40 trades$78519 min
4/25/2026, 11:49:36 AM30 trades$68514 min
4/24/2026, 2:43:24 PM34 trades$63218 min
4/25/2026, 10:18:14 AM61 trades$61820 min
4/25/2026, 5:28:24 PM28 trades$5929 min
4/25/2026, 3:53:20 PM48 trades$55918 min
4/24/2026, 3:58:18 PM29 trades$5299 min
4/25/2026, 2:43:16 PM16 trades$52510 min
4/25/2026, 11:13:20 AM57 trades$52425 min
4/25/2026, 7:13:18 PM51 trades$45220 min
4/24/2026, 4:43:24 PM14 trades$4364 min
4/25/2026, 5:18:20 PM28 trades$4364 min
4/25/2026, 3:23:14 PM27 trades$43112 min
4/24/2026, 8:03:14 PM61 trades$4258 min
4/25/2026, 4:33:16 PM26 trades$41913 min
4/27/2026, 11:00:10 AM24 trades$33923 min
4/25/2026, 3:43:26 AM10 trades$3290 min
4/25/2026, 3:43:20 PM70 trades$3255 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
04-26
05-07
05-14
06-20
07-22
07-31
08-03
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.1/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L36.2 / M34.9 / H28.9