@arlongur

#104,21192

0x6672acbf71322f19408b33aa5cfceb7a5c5ce975

~39d· 15 markets · 230 tradesVol: $40,3812026-08-05 02:21:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

78% (7/9)20/20
4.65x (win $1,402 / loss $301)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 9.76715/15
Sortino 32.59110/10
$+0.2108 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2134 (9 markets)1.8/10
7/9 profitable days (78%)10/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($171 / $1,271)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 78%
Profitable
PnL $+627
Lottery Player
67% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
10% sells
DCA Master
Avg 40.7 entries/market
Consistent
7/9 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders

Categories

3
SPORTS#76,582$271Vol: $36,032
🏛️ POLITICS#30,944$394Vol: $2,533
CRYPTO#1,351,172$-37Vol: $1,816

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$628
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$40,381
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
15
total markets
Trades
208B / 22S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-50
Vol: $30
Month
$-34
Vol: $743
All Time
$628
Vol: $40,381

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
78%
7W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$627
Win Rate
78%
7W / 2L
Profit Factor
4.65x
Avg Win
$200
Avg Loss
$-151

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,176 (1.8761988350754006% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$664
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$341
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$171
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$104
Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?$68
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$29
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$25

Top Losers

Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?$-171
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$-130

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.482
Sortino
4.255
HHI
3103
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.161
Kelly %
53.1%
Half-Kelly
26.6%
Top-1 market
41.1%
Top-5 markets
107.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 96s — normal for humanCV 3.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal95% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
40.67
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)67.3%
Mid (20-55c)13.9%
High (>55c)18.8%

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 11:40:24 AM2 trades$7320 min
4/3/2026, 1:29:15 PM2 trades$7311 min
5/12/2026, 4:14:16 AM1 trades$4820 min
5/8/2026, 3:09:17 AM1 trades$4750 min
3/11/2026, 1:00:53 PM1 trades$4260 min
2/6/2026, 1:36:01 PM1 trades$4000 min
1/21/2026, 2:59:16 AM2 trades$2911 min
7/7/2026, 3:56:13 PM3 trades$2500 min
4/9/2026, 4:39:13 PM2 trades$2161 min
3/20/2026, 12:40:39 PM1 trades$1950 min
2/5/2026, 12:25:25 AM1 trades$1900 min
4/5/2026, 11:59:57 PM1 trades$1880 min
3/6/2026, 2:44:29 AM1 trades$1860 min
1/26/2026, 8:41:37 AM1 trades$1790 min
3/7/2026, 12:18:21 AM1 trades$1680 min
3/1/2026, 11:57:15 PM2 trades$1621 min
3/20/2026, 8:59:37 PM7 trades$14917 min
3/20/2026, 12:52:17 PM1 trades$1490 min
3/5/2026, 8:10:19 AM4 trades$1432 min
2/26/2026, 1:09:32 PM1 trades$1410 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-27
03-01
03-06
04-03
04-09
04-29
05-08
05-17
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 54 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 40.67/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L67.3 / M13.9 / H18.8