@armstrongwilliam
#1,696,830120x594b61330dd669c63cff2aeeeedff34b3bfd5498
~33d· 60 markets · 113 tradesVol: $8,7672026-08-05 00:10:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
40% (24/60)5/20
0.44x (win $5 / loss $12)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3940/15
Sortino -3.3970/10
$-0.0016 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2080 (60 markets)2.1/10
17/33 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 703% of peak ($8 / $1)0/10
Badges
1🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
5⚽ SPORTS#1,244,026$-6Vol: $8,488
₿ CRYPTO#508,481$0Vol: $96
💰 FINANCE#199,247$0Vol: $85
🎭 CULTURE#327,167$0Vol: $4
🏛️ POLITICS#554,697$0Vol: $3
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-7
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,767
Total Redeem
$24
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
60
total markets
Trades
71B / 42S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-7
Vol: $8,767
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
40%
24W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$-7
Win Rate
40%
24W / 36L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4 (0.580060422960725% of PnL)
Top Winners
Miami (OH) vs. Colorado State$2
Magic vs. Pistons$1
Texans vs. Titans$1
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers$0
Packers vs. Vikings$0
Will NVIDIA reach $244 in March?$0
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?$0
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$0
Will Netflix dip to $0 in April?$0
Top Losers
Pelicans vs. Heat$-5
Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Sunday?$-1
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-29?$-1
Texas Tech vs. Arkansas$-0
Chiefs vs. Broncos$-0
Warriors vs. Clippers$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.175
Sortino
-0.077
HHI
1996
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
31.2%
Half-Kelly
15.6%
Top-1 market
22.8%
Top-5 markets
89.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
25.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1520s — normal for humanCV 3.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.88
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)31%
High (>55c)69%
Sessions
#123/11/2025, 9:45:04 AM1 trades$9590 min
3/11/2025, 10:22:13 AM1 trades$9580 min
3/11/2025, 6:07:11 AM1 trades$9400 min
3/11/2025, 6:41:15 AM1 trades$9390 min
3/11/2025, 8:19:02 AM1 trades$9330 min
3/11/2025, 8:55:34 AM1 trades$9330 min
3/11/2025, 7:02:49 AM1 trades$9290 min
3/11/2025, 7:44:04 AM1 trades$9280 min
12/26/2024, 12:03:52 PM2 trades$462 min
7/23/2026, 10:10:43 PM2 trades$410 min
12/27/2024, 11:13:50 PM2 trades$354 min
12/27/2024, 8:37:10 PM4 trades$355 min
12/26/2024, 12:48:58 PM2 trades$322 min
12/27/2024, 4:40:24 PM2 trades$295 min
12/28/2024, 10:43:20 PM4 trades$283 min
12/29/2024, 9:33:30 PM2 trades$272 min
10/19/2025, 11:28:05 AM1 trades$230 min
11/28/2025, 3:21:01 PM1 trades$220 min
12/27/2024, 9:38:16 PM2 trades$223 min
12/26/2024, 3:40:12 PM2 trades$222 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-26
12-31
01-16
02-27
04-24
08-27
04-22
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 71 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M31 / H69