@atomicmoose
#2,803,710220xe73997a477f5a7687f0fabfbadccac742e650c48
~49d· 78 markets · 237 tradesVol: $17,0412026-08-04 20:09:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
61% (45/74)15.4/20
0.50x (win $813 / loss $1,615)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1340/15
Sortino -4.2800/10
$-0.2683 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4345 (74 markets)0/10
25/44 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 389% of peak ($1,080 / $278)0/10
Badges
2Sniper
Win rate 61%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Categories
8🎭 CULTURE#740,423$-28Vol: $12,374
💰 FINANCE#20,731$78Vol: $2,515
⚽ SPORTS#1,743,538$-204Vol: $1,108
🏛️ POLITICS#1,488,815$-67Vol: $479
₿ CRYPTO#283,573$6Vol: $226
📈 ECONOMICS#656,044$-80Vol: $140
💻 TECH#242,961$-44Vol: $134
🌤️ WEATHER#46,627$2Vol: $44
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-350
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,041
Total Redeem
$40
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
78
total markets
Trades
147B / 90S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
61%
45W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$-350
Win Rate
61%
45W / 29L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-56
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $242 (0.690643375007136% of PnL)
Top Winners
Blues vs. Sharks$100
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$86
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?$56
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$53
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$45
Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April?$40
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?$40
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?$32
Will Apple release AirTag 2 by June 30?$31
Ducks vs. Flyers$29
Top Losers
Canucks vs. Avalanche$-400
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?$-180
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-120
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$-109
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$-108
Will the US lose jobs in May?$-102
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$-76
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?$-56
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-54
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?$-50
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.214
Sortino
-0.184
HHI
232
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.283
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
23%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 504s — normal for humanCV 1.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.03
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)15.6%
Mid (20-55c)21.8%
High (>55c)62.6%
Sessions
#127/12/2026, 12:19:43 PM16 trades$3,5401 min
7/12/2026, 12:07:17 PM22 trades$3,4042 min
7/12/2026, 2:51:04 AM2 trades$2900 min
4/1/2026, 9:56:53 PM2 trades$2530 min
5/21/2026, 11:14:55 PM5 trades$1641 min
1/5/2026, 3:09:31 PM1 trades$1600 min
6/12/2026, 6:07:30 PM4 trades$1502 min
5/22/2026, 4:07:08 AM9 trades$1431 min
5/22/2026, 10:34:18 PM7 trades$1330 min
6/30/2026, 3:22:20 PM13 trades$1267 min
5/10/2026, 9:46:51 PM16 trades$1219 min
1/7/2026, 2:47:05 PM6 trades$1106 min
12/5/2025, 11:33:05 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/30/2026, 11:49:47 PM1 trades$1000 min
5/1/2026, 2:44:08 AM2 trades$1000 min
5/20/2026, 2:09:04 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/12/2026, 2:45:46 AM3 trades$1000 min
1/5/2026, 4:15:05 PM1 trades$760 min
3/30/2026, 4:35:40 AM1 trades$740 min
1/1/2026, 4:44:13 PM1 trades$690 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-05
12-27
01-06
01-16
03-28
05-03
06-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 185 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.6 / M21.8 / H62.6