b14k

@b14k

#11,70475

0x1d1aa3439835cc8dbb5e55d615bee3f39b0d324e

~255d· 1064 markets · 5509 tradesVol: $398,7922026-08-04 21:49:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (629/1040)15.2/20
1.32x (win $37,862 / loss $28,668)6.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.13415/15
Sortino 1.57610/10
$+0.1005 per $1 invested5/10
HHI 115 (1040 markets)10/10
142/225 profitable days (63%)8.3/10
Max DD 46% of peak ($7,564 / $16,353)4.7/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+12,850
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.7 entries/market
Whale
$91,447 invested
Consistent
142/225 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

8
📢 MENTIONS#191$9,861Vol: $161,880
🏛️ POLITICS#9,885$2,569Vol: $131,879
SPORTS#1,813,607$-695Vol: $43,974
🎭 CULTURE#11,480$277Vol: $25,456
CRYPTO#37,737$662Vol: $21,371
📈 ECONOMICS#11,136$122Vol: $8,520
💻 TECH#241,420$-36Vol: $3,638
💰 FINANCE#19,451$88Vol: $1,259

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$12,850
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$398,792
Total Redeem
$8,949
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1064
total markets
Trades
3594B / 1915S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~255d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $0
Week
$99
Vol: $478
Month
$200
Vol: $836
All Time
$12,850
Vol: $398,792

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
629W / 410L events
Realized PnL
$12,850
Win Rate
61%
629W / 410L
Profit Factor
1.32x
Avg Win
$60
Avg Loss
$-74

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,987 (0.7771556638094386% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$4,538
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$4,367
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,081
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1,062
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$936
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$935
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$856
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$792
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?$742
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$648

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-6,219
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-3,095
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,474
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,328
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,296
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-778
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-742
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$-682
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?$-522
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-500

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.059
Sortino
0.050
HHI
196
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.080
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
23.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.0
Active
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 634s — normal for humanCV 2.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — very active3.9 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.69
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.7%
Mid (20-55c)38.1%
High (>55c)42.2%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 3:09:12 PM17 trades$2,2389 min
6/1/2026, 9:25:32 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
5/15/2026, 3:58:32 AM9 trades$1,7050 min
6/14/2026, 9:16:57 PM12 trades$1,36611 min
6/1/2026, 9:37:00 PM2 trades$1,3320 min
5/17/2026, 5:10:18 PM2 trades$1,2610 min
6/1/2026, 2:12:05 AM4 trades$1,1991 min
6/13/2026, 4:47:06 PM13 trades$1,0764 min
6/17/2026, 3:25:43 PM5 trades$1,0373 min
5/13/2026, 3:35:54 AM29 trades$1,0118 min
4/1/2026, 4:47:11 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/17/2026, 4:52:46 PM3 trades$9622 min
6/7/2026, 9:03:12 PM6 trades$9520 min
7/6/2026, 3:56:34 PM3 trades$9480 min
6/11/2026, 5:31:19 PM14 trades$9437 min
7/16/2026, 11:15:52 PM2 trades$9142 min
6/9/2026, 4:39:33 PM10 trades$8811 min
6/10/2026, 11:27:42 PM1 trades$8500 min
6/14/2026, 8:02:19 PM3 trades$8500 min
5/22/2026, 8:24:39 PM5 trades$8410 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-30
12-22
01-30
03-11
04-26
06-05
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 33 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.7 / M38.1 / H42.2