@b1rd
#403,833790x982e29618d277116328be5ab76dbce22e94d7657
~37d· 103 markets · 623 tradesVol: $123,8112026-08-05 02:23:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
53% (52/98)11.5/20
1.56x (win $7,605 / loss $4,875)9.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.27815/15
Sortino 8.77910/10
$+0.1576 per $1 invested7.9/10
HHI 349 (98 markets)10/10
20/30 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 40% of peak ($1,195 / $2,983)6/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+22
Lottery Player
60% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
6% sells
DCA Master
Avg 9.6 entries/market
Consistent
20/30 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
87% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#33,668$338Vol: $51,062
⚽ SPORTS#88,065$199Vol: $37,432
📢 MENTIONS#175,529$-1,257Vol: $18,337
💰 FINANCE#4,919$799Vol: $10,262
📈 ECONOMICS#8,810$181Vol: $2,300
🌤️ WEATHER#281,347$-73Vol: $1,731
🎭 CULTURE#800,224$-294Vol: $1,187
💻 TECH#228,226$-10Vol: $850
₿ CRYPTO#76,990$141Vol: $650
Overview
#1Net PnL
$22
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$123,811
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
103
total markets
Trades
587B / 36S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d
Periods
#2Today
$-8
Vol: $0
Week
$26
Vol: $150
Month
$-63
Vol: $950
All Time
$22
Vol: $123,811
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
53%
52W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$22
Win Rate
53%
52W / 46L
Profit Factor
1.56x
Avg Win
$146
Avg Loss
$-108
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,082 (137.33422459893046% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1,483
US bank failure by January 31?$920
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?$678
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$360
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$358
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$264
US bank failure by March 31?$182
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$141
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$137
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$132
Top Losers
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-385
Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during Michigan remarks?$-324
Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?$-323
Will Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in January 2026?$-321
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-260
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$-244
No one announced as next James Bond?$-231
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?$-208
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-198
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$-165
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.220
Sortino
0.395
HHI
264
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.180
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.8%
Top-5 markets
26.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
38.1m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.9
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 2.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal87% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.64
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)60.1%
Mid (20-55c)22.8%
High (>55c)17%
Sessions
#127/31/2026, 6:40:18 PM4 trades$1,4025 min
4/12/2026, 8:30:43 PM7 trades$8820 min
7/31/2026, 7:10:12 PM2 trades$8535 min
7/19/2026, 7:20:10 AM4 trades$8026 min
7/31/2026, 6:55:47 PM1 trades$7530 min
6/27/2026, 11:12:46 PM4 trades$6222 min
7/29/2026, 4:09:14 PM2 trades$4900 min
1/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM11 trades$48310 min
7/19/2026, 5:15:10 PM2 trades$4450 min
1/18/2026, 9:50:18 PM6 trades$4367 min
7/19/2026, 5:01:21 PM2 trades$4330 min
4/10/2026, 12:26:47 PM4 trades$4312 min
11/9/2025, 9:16:53 PM1 trades$4050 min
4/11/2026, 6:35:57 AM1 trades$4000 min
1/15/2026, 8:13:54 AM1 trades$3990 min
11/6/2025, 9:59:15 PM1 trades$3950 min
1/14/2026, 10:25:16 AM1 trades$3900 min
1/5/2026, 10:49:17 PM1 trades$3850 min
7/19/2026, 5:31:39 PM2 trades$3602 min
1/19/2026, 11:30:02 PM2 trades$3451 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-25
12-10
01-08
01-18
02-01
05-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 96 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.64/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L60.1 / M22.8 / H17