@bal-aur

#30,34230

0x21a5a5d7978ab307e2060ec89cd38d050edb5aac

~35d· 43 markets · 202 tradesVol: $105,9092026-08-05 00:39:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (16/40)5/20
1.12x (win $8,724 / loss $7,765)4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4328.1/15
Sortino 0.6876.9/10
$+0.0671 per $1 invested3.4/10
HHI 2999 (40 markets)0/10
7/17 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 88% of peak ($7,160 / $8,119)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+4,009
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#7,717$3,721Vol: $85,227
🎭 CULTURE#18,799$118Vol: $16,913
⚽ SPORTS#95,310$167Vol: $2,615
₿ CRYPTO#353,226$2Vol: $1,153

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,009
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$105,909
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
114B / 88S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

Periods

#2
Today
$-11
Vol: $0
Week
$-14
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$4,009
Vol: $105,909

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
16W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$4,009
Win Rate
40%
16W / 24L
Profit Factor
1.12x
Avg Win
$545
Avg Loss
$-388

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,343 (2.080961823873486% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$8,009
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?$226
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$108
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan$96
Will Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$83
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?$71
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?$44
Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?$19
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$17
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?$13

Top Losers

US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-6,427
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$-708
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be 12m or more?$-246
Will Putin meet with Trump before July?$-180
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?$-82
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$-63
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$-11
Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$-9
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?$-8
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.022
Sortino
0.027
HHI
3229
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.058
Kelly %
1.8%
Half-Kelly
0.9%
Top-1 market
45%
Top-5 markets
94.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 900s — normal for humanCV 2.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.92
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.9%
Mid (20-55c)16.7%
High (>55c)39.5%

Sessions

#12
5/18/2025, 11:31:15 PM1 trades$12,3620 min
3/14/2026, 12:33:53 AM1 trades$3,1150 min
5/11/2025, 9:24:20 PM2 trades$1,1001 min
5/7/2025, 11:45:47 AM1 trades$9090 min
5/24/2025, 7:30:21 PM2 trades$8590 min
5/19/2025, 10:08:27 AM2 trades$7101 min
5/12/2026, 1:22:58 PM6 trades$6721 min
5/15/2025, 3:22:36 PM2 trades$6392 min
5/18/2025, 12:54:53 PM9 trades$6374 min
5/15/2025, 9:57:08 AM3 trades$6365 min
5/11/2025, 3:53:00 PM1 trades$5590 min
6/1/2025, 5:14:07 PM6 trades$5441 min
5/11/2025, 9:30:08 PM3 trades$5394 min
5/19/2025, 9:43:17 PM1 trades$5370 min
5/18/2025, 10:32:33 AM1 trades$5060 min
5/18/2025, 10:59:01 AM1 trades$5060 min
5/9/2025, 12:25:18 AM1 trades$5000 min
5/15/2026, 7:37:40 AM2 trades$3710 min
5/31/2025, 10:21:31 AM1 trades$3600 min
5/11/2025, 10:26:38 PM4 trades$3523 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-09
05-12
05-15
05-18
05-20
05-31
06-02
04-01
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 377 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.92/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.9 / M16.7 / H39.5