@balabola

#1,551,4432

0x2b120724cf80b539262f7c4940611267cee1aaee

~22d· 17 markets · 90 tradesVol: $25,2832026-08-04 19:57:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (5/15)1.7/20
0.19x (win $2 / loss $11)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.1680/15
Sortino -8.6700/10
$-0.0453 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4969 (15 markets)0/10
5/15 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 3961% of peak ($11 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
80% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,151,444$-5Vol: $13,701
💰 FINANCE#130,332$1Vol: $6,490
📈 ECONOMICS#119,042$1Vol: $3,886
🌤️ WEATHER#193,882$-1Vol: $1,169
₿ CRYPTO#526,738$0Vol: $37

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,283
Total Redeem
$85
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
49B / 41S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4
Vol: $25,283

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
5W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-4
Win Rate
33%
5W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.18x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.5063613231552163% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$2
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?$0
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$0
Will Benjamin Rankin win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$0
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$-3
Will Guido Eduardo Nayar win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$-3
Will Rob Ruszkowski win the GA-14 special election?$-2
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or higher on April 30?$-2
Will Alfonso López Chau and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.464
Sortino
-0.883
HHI
1308
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.047
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.8%
Top-5 markets
75.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.5h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
27
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 25640s — normal for humanCV 2.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.4
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)79.6%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)20.4%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 3:34:52 PM5 trades$8410 min
5/14/2026, 9:51:21 AM16 trades$1420 min
6/28/2026, 9:01:40 PM2 trades$570 min
3/23/2026, 1:47:37 PM1 trades$340 min
4/12/2026, 5:36:05 AM2 trades$320 min
3/28/2026, 2:00:19 PM1 trades$300 min
4/25/2026, 1:16:20 PM2 trades$290 min
5/26/2026, 11:53:14 AM2 trades$260 min
5/24/2026, 10:38:39 PM6 trades$40 min
4/8/2026, 8:22:13 PM2 trades$30 min
4/17/2026, 10:59:56 AM10 trades$30 min
3/23/2026, 2:10:01 PM1 trades$30 min
4/20/2026, 1:51:18 AM16 trades$30 min
4/4/2026, 7:34:27 AM4 trades$20 min
7/2/2026, 1:20:20 AM8 trades$20 min
3/27/2026, 12:44:15 AM1 trades$20 min
4/9/2026, 3:29:33 AM1 trades$20 min
3/29/2026, 12:03:44 AM1 trades$20 min
3/23/2026, 10:49:13 PM1 trades$10 min
3/31/2026, 7:26:09 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-23
03-28
03-31
04-12
04-20
04-30
05-26
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 47 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6.7% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.4/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L79.6 / M0 / H20.4