@ballam

#3,072,63330

0xd406af105f5a98b9164eefa087c6668139f1e83a

~65d· 1309 markets · 65050 tradesVol: $3,067,2232026-08-04 14:06:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (685/1309)11.2/20
0.82x (win $456,969 / loss $558,553)0.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2610/15
Sortino -4.2770/10
$-0.1118 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 595 (1309 markets)9.5/10
27/41 profitable days (66%)9/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($106,079 / $0)0/10

Badges

7
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 49.7 entries/market
Whale
$908,751 invested
Consistent
27/41 profitable days
High Roller
$1,429/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,676,196$-69,758Vol: $2,909,744
🏛️ POLITICS#1,630,808$-3,300Vol: $142,401
SPORTS#1,858,496$-2,350Vol: $15,079

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-75,409
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,067,223
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1309
total markets
Trades
13255B / 51795S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~65d

Periods

#2
Week
$-14,282
Vol: $61,959
Month
$-6,263
Vol: $247,921
All Time
$-75,409
Vol: $3,067,223

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
685W / 624L events
Realized PnL
$-61,127
Win Rate
52%
685W / 624L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$667
Avg Loss
$-895

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $35,647 (0.583159037142307% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$17,479
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$9,534
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$8,634
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$8,157
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$7,818
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$7,018
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$6,988
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$6,754
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$6,479
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$6,360

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$-15,604
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$-15,188
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$-14,239
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$-14,155
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$-13,536
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?$-11,173
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$-10,038
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$-9,824
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$-8,155
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$-7,875

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.220
Sortino
-0.154
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.112
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
9.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
102.3
Very active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
9s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.6m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
24 min
Avg Trades / Session
949.6

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
52% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 2.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock102 trades/day — automation2.1 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
49.69
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.6%
Mid (20-55c)50.7%
High (>55c)45.7%

Sessions

#12
6/10/2026, 1:15:09 PM2834 trades$557,78745 min
6/9/2026, 3:18:04 PM14085 trades$342,289260 min
6/11/2026, 10:35:31 AM3464 trades$203,50169 min
6/11/2026, 3:39:40 PM4507 trades$90,077111 min
6/12/2026, 1:19:13 PM2758 trades$60,77027 min
6/9/2026, 2:00:04 PM2881 trades$58,83769 min
6/11/2026, 2:24:24 PM2619 trades$57,39262 min
6/10/2026, 12:35:13 AM996 trades$29,65945 min
6/11/2026, 6:10:19 PM1355 trades$27,59526 min
6/11/2026, 12:33:33 PM1325 trades$25,03614 min
6/11/2026, 1:50:15 PM814 trades$19,23027 min
6/10/2026, 7:06:15 AM1042 trades$18,34014 min
6/11/2026, 5:45:09 PM661 trades$15,70820 min
6/10/2026, 6:30:10 AM901 trades$15,67826 min
1/31/2026, 11:00:24 PM191 trades$15,42217 min
12/20/2024, 3:47:22 AM4 trades$13,7644 min
1/31/2026, 10:02:58 PM164 trades$10,0381 min
6/10/2026, 5:29:52 PM429 trades$9,71817 min
6/11/2026, 7:05:58 PM537 trades$8,96417 min
6/10/2026, 5:18:13 AM552 trades$8,67036 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
12-20
01-16
01-23
01-29
06-03
06-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
79.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 49.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.6 / M50.7 / H45.7