ballzi.

@ballzi.

#3,000,56424

0xa11376e9f170aaf97664cac13e9ab210a70193f4

~372d· 1606 markets · 12877 tradesVol: $1,836,2902026-08-04 16:04:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (539/1579)2.1/20
1.03x (win $62,053 / loss $60,231)2.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1803.4/15
Sortino 0.2973/10
$+0.0074 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 72 (1579 markets)10/10
108/269 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 124% of peak ($7,405 / $5,989)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
Whale
$247,415 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#329$5,988Vol: $711,750
🏛️ POLITICS#1,625,505$-2,008Vol: $410,938
CRYPTO#1,612,062$-864Vol: $216,865
🎭 CULTURE#808,358$-554Vol: $123,990
💰 FINANCE#653,053$-836Vol: $83,030
SPORTS#1,843,280$-1,469Vol: $65,456
💻 TECH#250,308$-118Vol: $20,268
📈 ECONOMICS#664,868$-143Vol: $19,705
📢 MENTIONS#172,795$-441Vol: $9,232

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,128
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,836,290
Total Redeem
$1,189
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1606
total markets
Trades
8013B / 4864S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~372d

Periods

#2
Today
$56
Vol: $0
Week
$-250
Vol: $0
Month
$-476
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,128
Vol: $1,836,290

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
539W / 1040L events
Realized PnL
$-2,128
Win Rate
34%
539W / 1040L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$115
Avg Loss
$-59

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,585 (7.323515314417827% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?$5,412
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?$5,372
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?$4,801
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?$2,984
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?$1,947
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in October 2025?$1,777
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?$1,626
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?$1,442
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?$1,420
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1,141

Top Losers

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?$-3,636
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?$-3,421
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$-2,334
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?$-2,227
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?$-1,861
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?$-1,647
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?$-1,062
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner$-1,000
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?$-930
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-800

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.009
Sortino
0.013
HHI
63
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.007
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
9.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.4
Active
Markets / Day
3.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
49.2m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 98s — normal for humanCV 3.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock30 trades/day — high frequency3.8 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.23
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47.4%
Mid (20-55c)37%
High (>55c)15.6%

Sessions

#12
4/9/2026, 3:51:07 PM507 trades$11,5900 min
5/11/2026, 3:11:20 PM2 trades$10,8470 min
7/4/2026, 11:51:04 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
4/26/2026, 12:53:18 PM11 trades$4,7563 min
4/15/2026, 8:26:02 AM46 trades$3,6998 min
1/14/2026, 2:20:24 PM1 trades$3,6080 min
5/18/2026, 12:12:45 AM2 trades$3,4350 min
6/13/2026, 12:20:28 PM3 trades$3,3923 min
4/29/2026, 6:36:24 PM6 trades$2,9580 min
11/14/2025, 4:16:50 PM1 trades$2,8560 min
6/13/2026, 11:24:13 AM9 trades$2,8440 min
5/14/2026, 10:37:14 PM3 trades$2,6930 min
5/25/2026, 12:04:39 PM70 trades$2,5653 min
5/14/2026, 2:53:03 PM79 trades$2,4527 min
11/23/2025, 12:59:33 AM37 trades$2,40627 min
11/19/2025, 11:18:15 PM4 trades$2,3225 min
5/17/2026, 11:56:47 AM2 trades$2,1090 min
6/22/2026, 8:11:22 AM5 trades$2,0760 min
4/29/2026, 1:28:20 PM2 trades$2,0580 min
4/3/2026, 10:33:47 PM45 trades$2,0393 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-02
07-17
10-08
11-27
01-27
03-21
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 134 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.23/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.4 / M37 / H15.6