@bearstodamoon
#3,070,927400xaa9ae1ef7719af8694d6811817c6d0c22aa43b3e
~150d· 288 markets · 2061 tradesVol: $3,994,8662026-08-04 16:20:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
92% (266/288)20/20
0.03x (win $4,781 / loss $169,728)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5720/15
Sortino -1.5670/10
$-0.0575 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 74 (288 markets)10/10
131/143 profitable days (92%)10/10
Max DD 7178% of peak ($168,317 / $2,345)0/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 92%
DCA Master
Avg 7.6 entries/market
Whale
$2,870,752 invested
Consistent
131/143 profitable days
High Roller
$7,195/day
Win Streak
69 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
4₿ CRYPTO#8,760$5,521Vol: $3,889,731
🏛️ POLITICS#1,641,422$-47,439Vol: $101,999
🎭 CULTURE#786,997$-127Vol: $3,000
⚽ SPORTS#241,702$17Vol: $136
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-42,029
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,994,866
Total Redeem
$2,206,477
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
288
total markets
Trades
912B / 1149S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~150d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$22
Vol: $6,501
Month
$71
Vol: $23,836
All Time
$-42,029
Vol: $3,994,866
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
92%
266W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-42,029
Win Rate
92%
266W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.03x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-18,859
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $307 (0.007301685873802751% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?$132
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7?$89
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$86
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?$74
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 3?$70
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?$70
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$66
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 24?$64
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 1?$62
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 6?$62
Top Losers
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-168,216
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$-1,304
Will a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$-127
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 23?$-48
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.082
Sortino
-0.015
HHI
77
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.056
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
9.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.8
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 306s — normal for humanCV 1.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.63
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)0.2%
High (>55c)98.8%
Sessions
#124/6/2026, 3:12:47 AM21 trades$49,3043 min
5/20/2026, 1:23:15 AM4 trades$43,3341 min
5/18/2026, 1:49:22 AM4 trades$43,2510 min
6/6/2026, 2:38:30 AM7 trades$43,1070 min
4/4/2026, 4:42:41 PM6 trades$41,5462 min
5/15/2026, 3:41:28 AM12 trades$38,6470 min
6/25/2026, 6:24:02 AM2 trades$32,6150 min
6/21/2026, 4:55:10 PM21 trades$32,2335 min
7/15/2026, 5:03:49 PM12 trades$29,1340 min
2/24/2026, 2:56:06 AM9 trades$28,95014 min
2/21/2026, 3:12:28 AM4 trades$28,8436 min
2/18/2026, 10:49:04 PM1 trades$28,7850 min
5/5/2026, 4:50:42 PM84 trades$27,4454 min
4/7/2026, 2:58:55 PM36 trades$27,19920 min
4/3/2026, 3:07:57 AM18 trades$26,3371 min
3/30/2026, 1:32:24 AM2 trades$25,1801 min
6/9/2026, 2:48:09 AM21 trades$25,1450 min
6/10/2026, 3:00:33 AM12 trades$24,4931 min
2/7/2026, 3:46:03 AM4 trades$24,3524 min
3/31/2026, 2:27:55 AM1 trades$24,2230 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-28
02-06
03-04
03-29
05-08
06-11
07-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 60 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.63/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1 / M0.2 / H98.8