beigesun

@beigesun

#12,28542

0xd5351a2142c265e39ba8bc0d1101f26d6eb5fa67

~620d· 1076 markets · 15978 tradesVol: $6,409,784 @ForestElephant82026-08-04 15:05:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (807/1026)20/20
0.93x (win $54,485 / loss $58,664)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1900/15
Sortino -0.2660/10
$-0.0026 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 85 (1026 markets)10/10
211/299 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 138% of peak ($18,784 / $13,595)0/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+12,129
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 15.2 entries/market
Whale
$1,624,786 invested
Consistent
211/299 profitable days
High Roller
$2,229/day
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
79% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#4,918$7,158Vol: $5,161,246
🎭 CULTURE#1,725$4,531Vol: $799,507
SPORTS#81,654$235Vol: $230,571
CRYPTO#1,610,168$-818Vol: $70,265
💻 TECH#3,233$278Vol: $54,190
💰 FINANCE#14,366$153Vol: $32,498
📈 ECONOMICS#5,707$368Vol: $31,668
🌤️ WEATHER#11,968$37Vol: $750

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$12,129
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,409,784
Total Redeem
$689
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1076
total markets
Trades
9827B / 6151S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~620d

Periods

#2
Today
$-9
Vol: $0
Week
$-10
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$12,129
Vol: $6,409,784

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
807W / 219L events
Realized PnL
$12,129
Win Rate
79%
807W / 219L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$68
Avg Loss
$-289

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,715 (1.7079365471979686% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?$11,075
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+$5,403
Kamala flips Trump on Silver Bulletin by Sept 30?$4,238
Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >60% on Friday?$1,869
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$1,835
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$1,678
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?$1,633
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1,258
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?$1,189
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?$1,171

Top Losers

Trump out as President before GTA VI?$-14,139
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$-5,547
Kamala Harris blowout victory?$-5,519
Trump flips Kamala on Silver Bulletin before the election?$-3,546
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?$-2,759
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$-2,495
Who will win Pinellas county?$-1,785
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?$-1,579
Will Xandra Velzeboer (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$-1,506
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$-1,151

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.010
Sortino
-0.008
HHI
66
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
11%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.2m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.3

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 286s — normal for humanCV 3.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency1.5 markets/day — normal79% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.18
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40%
Mid (20-55c)17.3%
High (>55c)42.7%

Sessions

#12
11/11/2024, 7:51:25 PM1 trades$28,9710 min
1/15/2025, 5:56:51 AM5 trades$26,6724 min
5/17/2025, 10:49:07 PM20 trades$24,12017 min
11/13/2024, 8:38:43 AM8 trades$22,28513 min
10/23/2024, 9:06:43 PM4 trades$17,7315 min
5/25/2025, 6:47:29 PM2 trades$16,0920 min
5/6/2025, 5:00:14 PM2 trades$16,0821 min
9/24/2024, 11:31:52 AM4 trades$15,8864 min
5/15/2025, 2:39:00 PM5 trades$15,5851 min
5/2/2025, 9:37:47 AM2 trades$14,9701 min
10/5/2024, 12:04:09 AM5 trades$14,7776 min
11/1/2024, 12:02:06 AM83 trades$14,7006 min
11/10/2024, 9:40:15 AM10 trades$14,11210 min
5/19/2025, 5:32:45 PM7 trades$13,1828 min
12/3/2024, 7:06:32 AM7 trades$12,88915 min
11/6/2024, 9:39:57 AM3 trades$12,7352 min
9/18/2024, 4:20:51 PM8 trades$12,34014 min
10/4/2024, 11:24:12 PM5 trades$12,2577 min
11/8/2024, 12:58:57 AM1 trades$11,9280 min
8/11/2024, 10:56:03 AM1 trades$11,3300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-03
11-15
02-04
05-11
07-23
11-03
05-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 39 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L40 / M17.3 / H42.7