@bertilio

#2,804,88233

0x6c28889eb7e4a4b62e01c41c75fdc7caf7691041

~201d· 421 markets · 964 tradesVol: $64,132 @bertilio242026-08-04 21:05:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (255/395)17.3/20
0.63x (win $4,773 / loss $7,622)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9560/15
Sortino -1.1670/10
$-0.2631 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 444 (395 markets)10/10
94/174 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 378% of peak ($3,874 / $1,024)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 65%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#141,490$72Vol: $25,543
CRYPTO#1,593,874$-539Vol: $17,513
🏛️ POLITICS#52,377$148Vol: $5,117
💰 FINANCE#89,625$3Vol: $4,364
🎭 CULTURE#161,443$1Vol: $3,990
📈 ECONOMICS#634,349$-26Vol: $3,497
🌤️ WEATHER#32,881$4Vol: $2,151
💻 TECH#174,192$-0Vol: $117
📢 MENTIONS#55,881$0Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-353
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$64,132
Total Redeem
$443
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
421
total markets
Trades
660B / 304S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~201d

Periods

#2
Today
$-27
Vol: $223
Week
$-38
Vol: $248
Month
$-44
Vol: $248
All Time
$-353
Vol: $64,132

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
255W / 140L events
Realized PnL
$-353
Win Rate
65%
255W / 140L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-61

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,242 (9.179408766564729% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,283
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$761
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$198
Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?$101
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$96
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$80
Knicks vs. Spurs$77
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$62
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?$58
Will Solana reach $80 in July?$52

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,300
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-530
Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in April?$-500
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-405
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-390
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-348
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-286
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-100
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-94
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-80

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.050
Sortino
-0.042
HHI
1073
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.219
Kelly %
26.0%
Half-Kelly
13.0%
Top-1 market
30.5%
Top-5 markets
48.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.2h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 212s — normal for humanCV 1.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.71
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.8%
Mid (20-55c)12.6%
High (>55c)75.6%

Sessions

#12
5/24/2026, 7:33:27 PM4 trades$9510 min
4/8/2026, 8:46:17 AM9 trades$5384 min
4/23/2025, 1:31:46 AM1 trades$5000 min
4/5/2026, 3:24:49 PM4 trades$4950 min
7/30/2026, 9:57:48 AM4 trades$4884 min
7/5/2026, 3:15:59 PM46 trades$39113 min
6/28/2026, 2:48:07 AM1 trades$3840 min
5/19/2026, 2:01:02 PM3 trades$3000 min
2/27/2026, 9:10:09 PM6 trades$2389 min
2/21/2026, 7:52:24 AM3 trades$2135 min
7/12/2026, 8:14:56 AM10 trades$2127 min
7/22/2026, 2:19:18 PM2 trades$2050 min
2/10/2026, 9:16:19 AM6 trades$2004 min
4/6/2026, 10:33:19 AM3 trades$2000 min
7/28/2026, 2:48:46 PM2 trades$2000 min
4/4/2026, 5:47:15 PM4 trades$1991 min
7/3/2026, 12:23:20 PM9 trades$1949 min
6/11/2026, 7:06:03 AM12 trades$1877 min
2/11/2026, 1:31:41 PM1 trades$1740 min
3/19/2026, 3:19:31 PM2 trades$1630 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-20
12-16
01-28
03-06
04-19
06-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 17 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.71/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.8 / M12.6 / H75.6