@betjunkie

#99,17767

0x03bec60891f6397d7a9a2d101503c0496064f6d9

~232d· 370 markets · 2511 tradesVol: $465,8842026-08-05 17:52:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (259/358)20/20
1.18x (win $31,534 / loss $26,618)4.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.66812.5/15
Sortino 0.8768.8/10
$+0.0184 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 235 (358 markets)10/10
109/157 profitable days (69%)9.9/10
Max DD 112% of peak ($6,670 / $5,942)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 72%
Profitable
PnL $+707
DCA Master
Avg 7.3 entries/market
Whale
$266,791 invested
Consistent
109/157 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,171$-6,270Vol: $220,002
CRYPTO#14,070$3,237Vol: $73,294
🎭 CULTURE#2,034$3,648Vol: $50,439
💻 TECH#259,179$-4,440Vol: $44,477
💰 FINANCE#7,147$481Vol: $32,939
SPORTS#12,308$3,663Vol: $21,062
📈 ECONOMICS#4,300$579Vol: $18,092
📢 MENTIONS#170,956$-275Vol: $4,949
🌤️ WEATHER#8,670$71Vol: $630

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$694
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$465,884
Total Redeem
$1,631
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
370
total markets
Trades
2016B / 495S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~232d

Periods

#2
Today
$-14
Vol: $99
Week
$17
Vol: $512
Month
$59
Vol: $706
All Time
$694
Vol: $465,884

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
72%
259W / 99L events
Realized PnL
$707
Win Rate
72%
259W / 99L
Profit Factor
1.18x
Avg Win
$122
Avg Loss
$-277

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,999 (14.151277986922924% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$5,173
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$3,438
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1,388
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$1,308
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$1,295
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?$1,253
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$985
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$741
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$693
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$666

Top Losers

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$-5,159
OpenAI browser by October 31?$-4,335
Nothing Ever Happens: January$-3,102
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-2,761
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-998
Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?$-847
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?$-737
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-710
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?$-608
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?$-594

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.035
Sortino
0.027
HHI
206
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
19.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 422s — normal for humanCV 3.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal85% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.32
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.3%
Mid (20-55c)8.5%
High (>55c)89.1%

Sessions

#12
12/30/2025, 11:42:01 PM1 trades$8,1980 min
2/9/2026, 8:30:01 PM5 trades$7,1881 min
1/18/2026, 8:11:12 PM6 trades$6,8491 min
1/18/2026, 9:27:46 PM1 trades$6,5330 min
12/11/2025, 7:38:07 AM3 trades$6,4921 min
2/15/2026, 6:43:35 PM1 trades$6,4400 min
2/16/2026, 9:17:15 PM1 trades$6,3480 min
12/10/2025, 2:58:08 PM6 trades$6,2721 min
12/5/2025, 12:08:01 AM1 trades$6,2660 min
12/1/2025, 8:21:44 PM1 trades$5,9230 min
12/31/2025, 9:21:01 PM2 trades$5,8360 min
3/23/2026, 1:30:09 PM6 trades$5,7612 min
4/21/2026, 8:34:40 PM1 trades$5,5930 min
3/22/2026, 4:14:29 PM1 trades$5,2870 min
4/17/2026, 7:35:14 PM1 trades$5,1230 min
4/17/2026, 8:38:52 PM2 trades$5,1231 min
11/24/2025, 10:49:19 PM9 trades$4,3799 min
7/31/2025, 2:46:24 PM1 trades$4,3740 min
7/31/2025, 3:42:06 PM8 trades$4,3742 min
4/4/2026, 12:12:01 AM1 trades$3,8050 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-31
08-30
10-11
12-11
02-25
05-13
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 41 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.3 / M8.5 / H89.1