betwinORlose

@betwinORlose

#2,951,15521

0x60b85d30f193aff0f017c5e905c560f91554945f

~134d· 325 markets · 1384 tradesVol: $1,136,412 @kokoo4kooo801852026-08-04 21:44:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (115/246)8.4/20
0.25x (win $338 / loss $1,339)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4000/15
Sortino -2.4040/10
$-0.1095 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 797 (246 markets)8.5/10
33/74 profitable days (45%)3.6/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,004 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,567,406$-221Vol: $1,042,660
🎭 CULTURE#788,822$-140Vol: $36,239
SPORTS#1,578,221$-45Vol: $21,106
📈 ECONOMICS#9,941$148Vol: $21,064
CRYPTO#1,619,330$-1,024Vol: $9,517
💰 FINANCE#25,274$53Vol: $5,776
💻 TECH#214,660$-4Vol: $47
📢 MENTIONS#60,215$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,233
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,136,412
Total Redeem
$6
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
325
total markets
Trades
640B / 744S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~134d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $8
All Time
$-1,233
Vol: $1,136,412

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
115W / 131L events
Realized PnL
$-1,233
Win Rate
47%
115W / 131L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $193 (0.15671502599077144% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$103
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?$59
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$32
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$26
Will Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$26
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$19
MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 8-14?$6
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? $3
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$3
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$3

Top Losers

Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?$-910
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$-74
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$-56
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?$-52
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?$-40
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?$-28
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-19
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?$-11
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$-11
MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC June 17-23?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.125
Sortino
-0.090
HHI
218
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.228
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.4%
Top-5 markets
29.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 298s — normal for humanCV 4.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.53
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48.1%
Mid (20-55c)27%
High (>55c)24.8%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2025, 3:32:24 AM1 trades$9500 min
9/21/2025, 6:50:54 AM3 trades$9491 min
9/21/2025, 8:42:12 AM43 trades$77914 min
9/19/2025, 8:24:28 AM26 trades$74910 min
9/21/2025, 8:17:00 AM2 trades$5115 min
11/22/2025, 1:36:43 PM9 trades$44612 min
9/27/2025, 1:39:54 AM9 trades$35912 min
10/20/2025, 12:41:35 PM1 trades$3400 min
10/19/2025, 11:06:11 AM2 trades$3334 min
10/20/2025, 6:47:27 AM1 trades$3330 min
10/21/2025, 11:53:05 AM4 trades$3003 min
10/18/2025, 12:06:31 PM9 trades$2698 min
9/19/2025, 10:27:58 AM2 trades$2670 min
10/20/2025, 4:11:05 PM1 trades$2600 min
10/1/2025, 1:41:53 PM2 trades$2500 min
9/25/2025, 2:21:08 AM1 trades$2450 min
10/18/2025, 12:19:41 PM1 trades$2420 min
10/19/2025, 8:34:23 AM1 trades$2420 min
12/2/2025, 12:16:10 PM2 trades$2350 min
10/11/2025, 2:44:52 AM2 trades$2332 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-23
09-16
11-06
12-15
01-19
02-23
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.53/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L48.1 / M27 / H24.8