bigshoot

@bigshoot

#2,649,11274

0xb96a0102425dcb20a59814d5020702c03548000b

~87d· 158 markets · 532 tradesVol: $150,0402026-08-05 15:50:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

77% (120/155)20/20
1.50x (win $4,266 / loss $2,841)8.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.86315/15
Sortino 1.56710/10
$+0.0166 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 1076 (155 markets)7.1/10
58/71 profitable days (82%)10/10
Max DD 61% of peak ($2,048 / $3,362)1.8/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 77%
Whale
$86,004 invested
Consistent
58/71 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#55,216$133Vol: $42,087
SPORTS#1,803,571$-573Vol: $36,956
CRYPTO#67,772$187Vol: $22,273
🌤️ WEATHER#10,772$46Vol: $15,541
💻 TECH#12,858$21Vol: $14,590
🎭 CULTURE#25,421$72Vol: $7,323
📢 MENTIONS#138,026$-16Vol: $5,277
💰 FINANCE#613,150$-39Vol: $4,918

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-147
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$150,040
Total Redeem
$17,455
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
158
total markets
Trades
255B / 277S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~87d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-147
Vol: $150,040

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
120W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$-147
Win Rate
77%
120W / 35L
Profit Factor
1.5x
Avg Win
$36
Avg Loss
$-105

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,427 (23.34025744057754% of PnL)

Top Winners

Set Handicap: Valentova (-1.5) vs Birrell (+1.5)$3,122
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$181
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$124
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?$120
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?$91
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$82
Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?$56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$32
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?$28

Top Losers

Spurs vs. Knicks$-2,048
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?$-180
Spread: South Carolina State Bulldogs (-1.5)$-104
Morgan State Bears vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs: O/U 155.5$-99
Will Ja Morant be traded before the 2026 trade deadline?$-83
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$-78
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$-65
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)$-50
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?$-46
Will M4A4 | Full Throttle win the HLTV Skin of the Year award?$-17

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.045
Sortino
0.028
HHI
1235
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.013
Kelly %
2.1%
Half-Kelly
1.0%
Top-1 market
25.7%
Top-5 markets
61.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1168s — normal for humanCV 3.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.52
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.5%
Mid (20-55c)9%
High (>55c)78.4%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 1:33:31 AM2 trades$15,2170 min
6/17/2026, 4:07:37 PM4 trades$11,0491 min
4/7/2026, 1:24:17 PM1 trades$7,5930 min
2/13/2026, 2:03:47 PM2 trades$6,0001 min
4/4/2026, 3:41:33 AM2 trades$5,2040 min
3/23/2026, 1:03:59 PM1 trades$4,5060 min
5/1/2026, 3:12:16 AM19 trades$4,4040 min
4/16/2026, 3:42:52 PM13 trades$3,4960 min
2/26/2026, 2:29:36 AM1 trades$3,1990 min
2/11/2026, 4:49:55 AM1 trades$3,0400 min
2/25/2026, 2:58:26 AM1 trades$3,0350 min
2/11/2026, 4:29:45 AM1 trades$3,0200 min
2/25/2026, 2:16:58 AM1 trades$3,0070 min
4/3/2026, 6:55:01 AM13 trades$2,48211 min
3/9/2026, 4:05:07 AM6 trades$2,3484 min
1/6/2026, 4:33:25 PM2 trades$2,1303 min
2/13/2026, 12:03:47 PM1 trades$1,9500 min
4/10/2026, 8:08:19 AM2 trades$1,8920 min
3/23/2026, 1:22:35 PM1 trades$1,5000 min
4/3/2026, 3:24:57 AM3 trades$1,3533 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-06
02-15
03-13
03-25
04-20
05-30
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
10% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.5 / M9 / H78.4