@billyliu001

#3,026,42171

0x043ff7b81f67a745a2488429057b10697994d9e1

~38d· 75 markets · 1036 tradesVol: $321,8412026-08-05 18:26:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (15/56)0/20
3.54x (win $22,870 / loss $6,468)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.25915/15
Sortino 37.69110/10
$+0.5587 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 679 (56 markets)9.1/10
9/23 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 20% of peak ($3,213 / $16,401)10/10

Badges

3
Cool Head
Max DD 20%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#811,489$-1,085Vol: $124,941
🏛️ POLITICS#31,448$381Vol: $112,817
SPORTS#1,844,280$-1,474Vol: $61,458
💰 FINANCE#620,513$-53Vol: $4,009
📈 ECONOMICS#27,071$23Vol: $1,400
📢 MENTIONS#101,135$-3Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,109
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$321,841
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
75
total markets
Trades
486B / 550S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,109
Vol: $321,841

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
15W / 41L events
Realized PnL
$-3,109
Win Rate
27%
15W / 41L
Profit Factor
3.54x
Avg Win
$1,525
Avg Loss
$-170

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,569 (5.650135552775536% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$14,465
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1,594
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$1,510
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1,333
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$1,004
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$901
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$784
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A$421
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs$395
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$204

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner$-1,319
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-993
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$-616
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?$-530
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?$-375
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$-317
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?$-300
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?$-300
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?$-292
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-227

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.218
Sortino
2.173
HHI
753
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.530
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.7%
Top-5 markets
51.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 480s — normal for humanCV 1.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.02
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.6%
Mid (20-55c)14.2%
High (>55c)57.2%

Sessions

#12
5/23/2026, 10:23:28 AM181 trades$11,36918 min
6/16/2026, 7:03:09 AM14 trades$3,0712 min
6/2/2026, 5:52:05 PM4 trades$2,9870 min
6/2/2026, 10:43:14 AM12 trades$2,8182 min
6/9/2026, 9:38:46 AM6 trades$2,3630 min
6/6/2026, 10:09:40 AM30 trades$2,2613 min
3/22/2026, 12:45:37 PM10 trades$1,8349 min
5/24/2026, 5:14:37 PM69 trades$1,8284 min
3/22/2026, 1:26:51 PM6 trades$1,8061 min
6/8/2026, 11:43:49 AM8 trades$1,6051 min
6/16/2026, 7:04:17 PM13 trades$1,5762 min
5/23/2026, 9:15:13 AM23 trades$1,4817 min
3/22/2026, 2:27:03 PM16 trades$1,3853 min
5/22/2026, 11:38:33 AM14 trades$1,3641 min
5/28/2026, 8:54:50 AM10 trades$1,3297 min
6/6/2026, 7:34:48 AM8 trades$1,1680 min
6/2/2026, 10:34:22 AM13 trades$1,1600 min
6/16/2026, 9:12:20 PM2 trades$1,1170 min
3/21/2026, 5:26:55 PM5 trades$1,0993 min
6/2/2026, 9:27:35 AM14 trades$9907 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-23
03-20
03-28
05-22
05-25
05-29
06-05
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 122 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.6 / M14.2 / H57.2