blackswan111

@blackswan111

#2,576,09228

0x54236deb8dbd88f56e42a355227a4a319dcb0170

~73d· 288 markets · 374 tradesVol: $117,1082026-08-04 22:10:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (188/283)18.2/20
0.56x (win $180 / loss $321)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5340/15
Sortino -3.0370/10
$-0.0087 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1455 (283 markets)5.2/10
34/68 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($141 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,623,314$-63Vol: $74,017
🏛️ POLITICS#91,010$50Vol: $32,999
📈 ECONOMICS#67,305$4Vol: $6,460
CRYPTO#1,114,450$-8Vol: $2,215
📢 MENTIONS#148,923$-28Vol: $727
🎭 CULTURE#766,550$-59Vol: $577
💰 FINANCE#120,103$1Vol: $58
💻 TECH#212,476$-4Vol: $42
🌤️ WEATHER#118,608$0Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-107
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$117,108
Total Redeem
$39
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
288
total markets
Trades
312B / 62S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~73d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-107
Vol: $117,108

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
188W / 95L events
Realized PnL
$-107
Win Rate
66%
188W / 95L
Profit Factor
0.56x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $89 (0.8302169035153328% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$72
Will Kamala say "Trump" 10 or more times during Univision town hall on October 10?$11
Linea airdrop in 2024?$7
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$6
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?$4
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?$4
Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?$3
Will Trump say "Border" 30 or more times during Georgia rally on October 23?$3
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in October?$3
Will Trump say "French fries" during North Carolina rally October 22?$3

Top Losers

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$-96
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$-26
Manchester City wins the Premier League?$-16
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during California rally on October 12?$-14
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-12
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-11
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$-9
Will Tua Tagovailoa win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$-8
Aleo airdrop in 2024?$-5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.132
Sortino
-0.122
HHI
1241
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
36.5%
Half-Kelly
18.3%
Top-1 market
18%
Top-5 markets
77.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 38s — normal for humanCV 5.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal4% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.33
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.6%
Mid (20-55c)17%
High (>55c)72.4%

Sessions

#12
10/25/2025, 7:56:21 PM2 trades$2,9621 min
10/24/2025, 6:40:41 PM3 trades$2,8992 min
10/25/2025, 1:49:17 PM1 trades$2,8990 min
10/24/2025, 3:50:55 PM1 trades$2,8740 min
10/25/2025, 9:24:31 PM1 trades$1,8180 min
10/26/2025, 11:14:47 AM1 trades$1,8160 min
10/9/2024, 3:21:27 PM3 trades$1,2895 min
10/8/2024, 4:08:45 PM5 trades$9856 min
10/9/2024, 5:47:03 AM5 trades$9632 min
10/9/2024, 5:13:29 AM1 trades$9600 min
10/8/2024, 5:15:21 AM1 trades$9600 min
10/7/2024, 7:58:41 PM1 trades$9600 min
10/10/2024, 5:11:47 AM3 trades$9533 min
10/7/2024, 9:58:29 AM7 trades$95210 min
10/10/2024, 5:40:45 AM1 trades$9500 min
10/10/2024, 11:52:37 AM1 trades$9460 min
10/8/2024, 9:56:25 AM1 trades$9400 min
10/9/2024, 2:28:07 PM2 trades$4211 min
10/9/2024, 8:37:11 AM1 trades$1470 min
6/27/2025, 9:13:25 AM6 trades$1383 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-07
10-20
11-03
12-12
02-26
10-24
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.6 / M17 / H72.4