@bober2525

#2,922,98819

0xb902b04e7eedb83aad70fff0eebbefa1975e31e2

~107d· 178 markets · 1426 tradesVol: $55,5802026-08-04 18:54:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (49/112)6.9/20
0.58x (win $1,236 / loss $2,122)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2050/15
Sortino -3.4200/10
$-0.0465 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 614 (112 markets)9.4/10
25/59 profitable days (42%)3.1/10
Max DD 529% of peak ($1,092 / $207)0/10

Badges

2
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#131,363$21Vol: $27,409
💰 FINANCE#642,973$-216Vol: $8,009
SPORTS#1,759,997$-267Vol: $7,975
💻 TECH#254,139$-263Vol: $5,409
📈 ECONOMICS#665,173$-146Vol: $2,880
CRYPTO#1,334,139$-32Vol: $2,819
🎭 CULTURE#766,361$-58Vol: $877

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-982
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$55,580
Total Redeem
$100
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
178
total markets
Trades
1081B / 345S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~107d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-982
Vol: $55,580

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
49W / 63L events
Realized PnL
$-982
Win Rate
44%
49W / 63L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-34

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $338 (0.34441016869775914% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?$154
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$97
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026?$87
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$82
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?$76
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$74
Will Trump and Putin not meet?$66
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?$53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$51
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$48

Top Losers

Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$-419
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-399
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?$-320
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-90
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 7 or after?$-90
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$-60
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?$-50
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$-50
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?$-47
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?$-41

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.166
Sortino
-0.152
HHI
250
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.074
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.6%
Top-5 markets
24.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 794s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.59
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.8%
Mid (20-55c)38%
High (>55c)50.1%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 5:29:40 PM8 trades$6624 min
3/28/2026, 9:34:54 PM4 trades$3995 min
2/8/2026, 12:57:05 AM3 trades$3002 min
3/28/2026, 8:40:24 PM3 trades$2801 min
4/2/2026, 3:00:17 AM2 trades$2410 min
6/21/2026, 6:56:32 AM10 trades$21713 min
3/28/2026, 9:51:18 PM7 trades$2078 min
6/2/2026, 5:12:49 PM4 trades$2023 min
10/19/2025, 8:42:09 PM3 trades$2004 min
2/6/2026, 9:08:27 PM1 trades$2000 min
6/1/2026, 10:24:53 AM4 trades$1862 min
6/29/2026, 11:48:47 PM6 trades$1835 min
6/1/2026, 6:33:32 PM39 trades$17926 min
6/27/2026, 7:42:16 AM6 trades$16010 min
6/25/2026, 11:40:11 AM1 trades$1530 min
6/25/2026, 9:11:58 AM2 trades$1420 min
6/25/2026, 7:09:59 PM18 trades$1408 min
5/8/2026, 5:35:05 PM1 trades$1380 min
6/29/2026, 8:50:23 PM3 trades$1370 min
10/10/2025, 12:48:58 PM2 trades$1353 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
12-17
02-16
03-23
05-10
06-01
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 170 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.8 / M38 / H50.1