@bogdanc1

#3,071,56613

0xfde6d3106320cf7d22fa64822fdec909fa3f7ed6

~180d· 792 markets · 13855 tradesVol: $8,246,4332026-08-04 13:31:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (268/755)2.7/20
0.65x (win $185,396 / loss $285,109)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2870/15
Sortino -3.7550/10
$-0.1432 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 249 (755 markets)10/10
40/125 profitable days (32%)0.5/10
Max DD 1472% of peak ($108,587 / $7,378)0/10

Badges

7
Lottery Player
69% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
4% sells
Whale
$696,371 invested
High Roller
$1,080/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,881,499$-32,273Vol: $6,543,156
🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,932$-11,457Vol: $1,378,681
🎭 CULTURE#816,411$-8,193Vol: $161,185
📢 MENTIONS#176,534$-4,471Vol: $78,878
🌤️ WEATHER#278,797$-61Vol: $34,636
CRYPTO#63,013$214Vol: $15,227
💻 TECH#255,416$-422Vol: $1,538
📈 ECONOMICS#26,056$25Vol: $145

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-52,713
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,246,433
Total Redeem
$4
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
792
total markets
Trades
13235B / 620S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~180d

Periods

#2
Today
$-32
Vol: $3,661
Week
$-33
Vol: $29,627
Month
$-13
Vol: $29,627
All Time
$-52,713
Vol: $8,246,433

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
268W / 487L events
Realized PnL
$-52,723
Win Rate
36%
268W / 487L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$692
Avg Loss
$-585

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $39,544 (0.7500428183604371% of PnL)

Top Winners

Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?$15,823
Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw?$13,382
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$10,340
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$9,898
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?$9,896
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$9,178
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$9,150
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Canada?$9,100
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$6,755
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$6,200

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-15,607
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$-13,034
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-12,578
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$-11,619
Will Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?$-10,000
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-8,779
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05?$-8,528
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$-7,513
Exact Score: Cabo Verde 1 - 0 Saudi Arabia?$-5,500
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$-5,357

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.171
Sortino
-0.183
HHI
89
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.181
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6%
Top-5 markets
13.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.1m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
40.3

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42s — normal for humanCV 7.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency1.2 markets/day — normal95% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.46
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)69.5%
Mid (20-55c)12.2%
High (>55c)18.4%

Sessions

#12
11/7/2024, 12:05:43 PM3 trades$33,8895 min
7/8/2026, 10:24:20 AM2 trades$30,0000 min
11/6/2024, 12:48:31 AM1 trades$23,7990 min
4/29/2026, 5:06:24 PM86 trades$19,2238 min
11/5/2024, 10:36:23 AM1 trades$15,0000 min
8/15/2025, 10:22:48 PM81 trades$14,21445 min
5/8/2026, 6:30:53 PM40 trades$14,21221 min
4/7/2026, 6:34:21 PM96 trades$13,90127 min
11/6/2024, 12:22:25 AM2 trades$13,5852 min
5/8/2026, 6:01:34 PM45 trades$12,76814 min
6/5/2026, 1:07:58 PM330 trades$11,746119 min
7/7/2026, 8:57:58 PM2 trades$11,0470 min
6/24/2026, 6:19:04 PM76 trades$10,88338 min
5/24/2026, 4:58:41 PM27 trades$10,71734 min
11/6/2024, 5:16:57 AM2 trades$10,6151 min
11/24/2024, 3:03:01 PM4 trades$10,4152 min
6/8/2026, 11:13:54 AM3 trades$10,2220 min
3/12/2025, 9:59:07 AM1 trades$10,0000 min
11/6/2024, 12:13:45 AM1 trades$9,9970 min
5/13/2026, 3:02:11 PM14 trades$9,7143 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-28
02-28
08-10
04-29
05-21
06-19
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 494 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.46/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L69.5 / M12.2 / H18.4