@bolderw

#1,231,5026

0x0557ced5b1928df75d21ad3f147b7a1185d2b227

~13d· 9 markets · 43 tradesVol: $3,8472026-08-05 02:44:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (3/8)3.8/20
0.50x (win $4 / loss $8)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7930/15
Sortino -4.3490/10
$-0.0063 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4598 (8 markets)0/10
3/8 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($8 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
57% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#913,439$-1Vol: $2,100
📢 MENTIONS#84,449$-1Vol: $1,000
₿ CRYPTO#389,790$1Vol: $746

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,847
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9
total markets
Trades
14B / 29S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
3W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-1
Win Rate
38%
3W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4 (6.253731343283581% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Solana reach $170 in May?$4
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$0
Will Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$0

Top Losers

Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$-6
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$-1
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?$-1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.186
Sortino
-0.182
HHI
4848
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
53.4%
Top-5 markets
99.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.6h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
13
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 1.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.88
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)57.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)42.9%

Sessions

#12
5/7/2026, 11:34:56 AM4 trades$3600 min
12/15/2025, 12:03:05 AM1 trades$2990 min
12/23/2025, 1:53:31 AM1 trades$190 min
12/29/2025, 8:16:19 AM1 trades$180 min
4/27/2026, 12:50:12 PM4 trades$151 min
1/5/2026, 6:37:41 AM1 trades$140 min
12/6/2025, 12:18:11 AM1 trades$10 min
2/17/2026, 11:18:15 PM2 trades$10 min
6/29/2026, 10:04:19 PM19 trades$10 min
7/25/2026, 7:06:19 PM1 trades$00 min
7/11/2026, 12:54:28 PM6 trades$01 min
3/16/2026, 8:22:01 AM1 trades$00 min
3/15/2026, 10:03:07 AM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-06
12-29
01-05
02-17
03-16
04-27
05-07
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.88/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.1 / M0 / H42.9