@bolla-577

#3,14598

0x7c8b2af934eed0bad9b7437e927ef09c0ebca211

~252d· 316 markets · 2609 tradesVol: $587,8352026-08-04 18:54:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

98
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (215/313)19.3/20
7.00x (win $80,468 / loss $11,501)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.93115/15
Sortino 41.33610/10
$+0.3322 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 331 (313 markets)10/10
91/140 profitable days (65%)8.8/10
Max DD 3% of peak ($2,087 / $69,244)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Profitable
PnL $+57,505
DCA Master
Avg 8.2 entries/market
Whale
$207,584 invested
Consistent
91/140 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 3%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#865$58,031Vol: $522,909
🎭 CULTURE#6,505$680Vol: $29,323
💰 FINANCE#53,280$11Vol: $17,839
🌤️ WEATHER#297,836$-1,092Vol: $12,913
📈 ECONOMICS#643,111$-40Vol: $1,785
📢 MENTIONS#159,083$-62Vol: $1,484
⚽ SPORTS#1,511,231$-28Vol: $718
₿ CRYPTO#392,878$1Vol: $132

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$57,505
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$587,835
Total Redeem
$29,774
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
316
total markets
Trades
1592B / 1017S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~252d

Periods

#2
Today
$150
Vol: $522
Week
$150
Vol: $522
Month
$146
Vol: $522
All Time
$57,505
Vol: $587,835

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
215W / 98L events
Realized PnL
$57,505
Win Rate
69%
215W / 98L
Profit Factor
7x
Avg Win
$374
Avg Loss
$-124

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $35,485 (0.6170668413056116% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?$13,209
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?$11,363
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$10,913
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$8,734
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$5,154
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?$4,257
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?$1,908
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$1,783
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?$1,775
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?$1,639

Top Losers

Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?$-1,615
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$-1,129
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$-1,078
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?$-954
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?$-823
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?$-718
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?$-347
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$-318
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$-302
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?$-253

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.205
Sortino
1.470
HHI
300
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.335
Kelly %
44.3%
Half-Kelly
22.1%
Top-1 market
8.7%
Top-5 markets
31.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 574s — normal for humanCV 3.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.2
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.5%
Mid (20-55c)21.9%
High (>55c)67.6%

Sessions

#12
4/24/2026, 1:10:08 PM106 trades$16,0415 min
10/29/2025, 2:20:19 PM19 trades$13,34517 min
4/5/2026, 7:28:19 PM51 trades$12,5830 min
12/17/2025, 3:46:02 PM4 trades$9,0813 min
12/27/2025, 1:25:03 AM12 trades$7,8819 min
4/24/2026, 1:44:30 PM24 trades$6,4582 min
4/21/2026, 2:56:40 PM22 trades$5,3310 min
12/27/2025, 5:20:03 AM3 trades$4,7563 min
12/27/2025, 5:41:39 AM4 trades$4,6591 min
2/25/2026, 7:30:16 PM6 trades$4,6583 min
12/3/2025, 3:13:23 PM6 trades$4,5995 min
2/25/2026, 7:18:26 PM8 trades$4,4893 min
2/6/2026, 12:39:59 AM1 trades$4,4450 min
11/28/2025, 11:28:43 PM2 trades$4,3350 min
3/22/2026, 7:11:31 PM4 trades$4,2360 min
2/3/2026, 3:16:10 PM24 trades$3,93413 min
11/30/2025, 9:38:48 PM3 trades$3,7555 min
11/16/2025, 3:06:06 AM3 trades$3,6272 min
11/29/2025, 12:10:11 AM2 trades$3,5984 min
10/28/2025, 3:39:55 PM11 trades$3,38810 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-06
04-27
06-30
11-16
12-26
03-12
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 56 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.5 / M21.9 / H67.6