@bolloloco1

#134,81977

0xdecf50c9409438d31f660beb5d2d624f1b24b8e3

~20d· 23 markets · 159 tradesVol: $12,6772026-08-05 17:27:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (10/22)7.7/20
3.27x (win $4,240 / loss $1,298)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.40415/15
Sortino 59.81510/10
$+0.8561 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1183 (22 markets)6.6/10
6/15 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 9% of peak ($264 / $2,942)10/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+355
DCA Master
Avg 9.3 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 9%

Categories

5
SPORTS#64,656$378Vol: $9,601
🏛️ POLITICS#1,402,629$-25Vol: $1,148
🎭 CULTURE#44,455$25Vol: $994
💰 FINANCE#49,578$13Vol: $420
CRYPTO#1,298,120$-25Vol: $217

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$355
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,677
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
87B / 72S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
10W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$355
Win Rate
45%
10W / 12L
Profit Factor
3.27x
Avg Win
$424
Avg Loss
$-130

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,147 (11.677581934902578% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3,107
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$964
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$77
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$52
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$12
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?$10
Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?$3
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$2
Will RFK drop out before November?$0

Top Losers

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-935
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-234
Will Spain be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$-34
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-31
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$-18
Will England be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$-14
Will France be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$-11
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?$-10
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$-5
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.324
Sortino
2.518
HHI
1761
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.709
Kelly %
22.5%
Half-Kelly
11.3%
Top-1 market
29.4%
Top-5 markets
81.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
34
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42s — normal for humanCV 1.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.32
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.5%
Mid (20-55c)2.3%
High (>55c)86.2%

Sessions

#12
5/19/2026, 4:12:18 AM25 trades$8523 min
6/18/2026, 8:30:38 AM7 trades$7921 min
5/30/2026, 10:08:11 AM6 trades$7043 min
6/22/2026, 1:23:43 PM8 trades$5451 min
6/7/2026, 11:59:54 AM10 trades$5155 min
5/22/2026, 12:29:58 PM9 trades$4911 min
6/7/2026, 11:54:39 AM4 trades$4040 min
6/8/2026, 2:41:36 PM2 trades$4000 min
5/26/2026, 3:06:29 PM4 trades$2320 min
5/25/2026, 9:34:24 AM7 trades$2000 min
6/7/2026, 11:44:16 AM2 trades$2000 min
3/26/2026, 10:39:43 AM1 trades$1620 min
7/14/2026, 3:39:25 PM1 trades$1350 min
6/16/2026, 9:08:53 PM1 trades$1170 min
5/31/2026, 5:57:59 AM1 trades$1010 min
6/18/2026, 10:10:23 PM3 trades$970 min
6/7/2026, 11:26:30 AM1 trades$920 min
6/7/2026, 11:35:45 AM6 trades$763 min
3/26/2026, 1:26:55 PM1 trades$580 min
6/7/2026, 10:43:55 AM2 trades$510 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-16
08-19
05-22
05-30
06-07
06-16
06-18
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.5 / M2.3 / H86.2