bonemdenage

@bonemdenage

#2,936,05227

0x42463b84631d6b65db8189b20414607cc54f85f8

~98d· 3367 markets · 5630 tradesVol: $58,5962026-08-05 17:28:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (1957/3366)14.1/20
0.97x (win $6,565 / loss $6,795)2.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8380/15
Sortino -1.5340/10
$-0.0119 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 824 (3366 markets)8.4/10
41/98 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 188% of peak ($510 / $271)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,617,932$-974Vol: $46,072
💰 FINANCE#578,528$-11Vol: $9,535
SPORTS#1,608,843$-56Vol: $2,493
🏛️ POLITICS#1,038,957$-3Vol: $158
📈 ECONOMICS#442,406$-1Vol: $102
🎭 CULTURE#459,926$-0Vol: $64
🌤️ WEATHER#242,881$-9Vol: $23

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,065
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$58,596
Total Redeem
$970
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3367
total markets
Trades
4647B / 983S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~98d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,065
Vol: $58,596

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
1957W / 1409L events
Realized PnL
$-1,065
Win Rate
58%
1957W / 1409L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $105 (0.09896889790398918% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$38
XRP Up or Down - March 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$35
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$32
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$31
XRP Up or Down - March 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$30
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$27
XRP Up or Down - March 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$23
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$23

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$-65
XRP Up or Down - March 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$-60
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$-57
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$-49
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?$-38
XRP Up or Down - March 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$-35
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$-35
XRP Up or Down - March 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$-35
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-33
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.044
Sortino
-0.083
HHI
7
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
2.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.5
Active
Markets / Day
20.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
50s
between trades
Avg Gap
22.1m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.0

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 50s — normal for humanCV 0.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock35 trades/day — high frequency21 markets/day — mass coverage24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.69
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2%
Mid (20-55c)44.7%
High (>55c)53.2%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 7:45:55 AM2 trades$9,4100 min
3/7/2026, 4:35:47 AM70 trades$38455 min
6/21/2026, 12:18:40 PM8 trades$2933 min
6/21/2026, 4:00:08 PM4 trades$2750 min
3/5/2026, 4:07:29 AM29 trades$26121 min
3/12/2026, 8:31:03 AM24 trades$23833 min
3/23/2026, 7:27:53 PM54 trades$2388 min
6/18/2026, 12:59:04 PM28 trades$2373 min
3/12/2026, 7:07:47 AM28 trades$23620 min
2/22/2026, 4:16:22 PM27 trades$22721 min
6/18/2026, 12:40:50 AM30 trades$16210 min
2/22/2026, 5:29:16 PM29 trades$15819 min
6/22/2026, 2:51:34 AM2 trades$1500 min
6/29/2026, 8:10:10 AM11 trades$1410 min
2/22/2026, 9:15:18 AM40 trades$14137 min
3/5/2026, 3:24:35 AM21 trades$13017 min
6/27/2026, 12:00:04 AM10 trades$1280 min
3/7/2026, 8:28:29 AM20 trades$11613 min
2/26/2026, 5:29:44 PM10 trades$11019 min
3/23/2026, 7:51:53 PM26 trades$1099 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-02
02-19
03-07
04-14
06-08
06-24
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 59 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2 / M44.7 / H53.2