@btcgrinderne

#2,790,76323

0x6d94c8ea965dc1b59db78fdfb5e4ca222d3ac0df

~19d· 687 markets · 1812 tradesVol: $12,0522026-08-04 22:09:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (332/685)9.2/20
0.95x (win $1,422 / loss $1,492)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5100/15
Sortino -2.6800/10
$-0.0242 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 23 (685 markets)10/10
6/16 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 148% of peak ($214 / $144)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
10 wins in a row

Categories

4
₿ CRYPTO#1,541,886$-217Vol: $8,363
🌤️ WEATHER#283,314$-87Vol: $2,497
⚽ SPORTS#1,420,935$-16Vol: $959
🏛️ POLITICS#565,511$0Vol: $233

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-319
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,052
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
687
total markets
Trades
1039B / 773S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-319
Vol: $12,052

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
332W / 353L events
Realized PnL
$-319
Win Rate
48%
332W / 353L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $71 (0.22138002317787456% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 28?$29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$12
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 27?$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$11
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$11
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$10

Top Losers

Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$-23
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$-20
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$-16
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$-12
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$-11
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 27?$-11
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$-10
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.076
Sortino
-0.169
HHI
20
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.025
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.9%
Top-5 markets
4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
53.3
Very active
Markets / Day
20.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
54s
between trades
Avg Gap
14.9m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
17 min
Avg Trades / Session
26.2

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 54s — normal for humanCV 0.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity53 trades/day — mass trading20 markets/day — mass coverage57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.64
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.9%
Mid (20-55c)50.3%
High (>55c)44.8%

Sessions

#12
6/12/2026, 8:26:22 AM130 trades$272104 min
6/10/2026, 1:40:58 PM91 trades$25754 min
6/11/2026, 4:02:42 PM89 trades$21551 min
6/10/2026, 7:15:58 PM83 trades$19562 min
7/7/2026, 10:20:08 PM5 trades$1490 min
6/10/2026, 3:26:22 PM57 trades$14934 min
6/10/2026, 6:40:57 PM49 trades$14330 min
6/11/2026, 10:01:34 AM59 trades$13350 min
6/11/2026, 8:00:42 AM54 trades$12240 min
6/10/2026, 2:51:01 PM52 trades$10811 min
6/11/2026, 5:11:07 PM37 trades$10530 min
6/26/2026, 5:16:59 PM2 trades$1000 min
6/10/2026, 12:35:48 PM28 trades$9318 min
6/13/2026, 12:10:58 AM38 trades$8930 min
6/13/2026, 9:03:15 AM34 trades$7622 min
6/12/2026, 7:18:13 AM25 trades$7522 min
6/11/2026, 12:35:37 PM24 trades$6818 min
6/26/2026, 7:55:44 PM7 trades$681 min
6/13/2026, 8:15:34 AM31 trades$6718 min
6/11/2026, 8:46:03 AM28 trades$6720 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-04
06-06
06-11
06-13
06-21
06-26
06-28
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 22 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.9 / M50.3 / H44.8