@buddy-826

#2,812,28416

0x2fbac26a71a8b2782dc4c3860b0a0c1e279dd94c

~33d· 25 markets · 94 tradesVol: $14,1542026-08-04 21:45:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (10/23)6.7/20
0.42x (win $250 / loss $600)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.2850/15
Sortino -6.2140/10
$-0.1697 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1398 (23 markets)5.5/10
7/16 profitable days (44%)3.4/10
Max DD 842% of peak ($398 / $47)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,585,896$-351Vol: $9,505
🎭 CULTURE#774,140$-78Vol: $3,413
📢 MENTIONS#17,693$13Vol: $429
💰 FINANCE#600,935$-24Vol: $368
CRYPTO#131,778$47Vol: $290
📈 ECONOMICS#28,742$21Vol: $80
SPORTS#1,027,675$-2Vol: $69

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-375
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,154
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
50B / 44S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
10W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-375
Win Rate
43%
10W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.42x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-46

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $150 (0.40140337771137374% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kamala say "not going back" at debate?$58
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?$47
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?$46
Biden drops out of presidential race?$36
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$22
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$21
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$11
Will Kamala Harris say "abortion" during DNC speech?$5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$4
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$1

Top Losers

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-259
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?$-86
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?$-80
Will Kamala say "liar" at debate?$-50
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?$-33
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$-32
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$-25
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?$-17
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-12
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.319
Sortino
-0.296
HHI
1181
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.190
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29%
Top-5 markets
59.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 136s — normal for humanCV 1.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.65
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38%
Mid (20-55c)36%
High (>55c)26%

Sessions

#12
11/2/2024, 5:37:50 AM20 trades$5603 min
10/24/2024, 11:49:58 AM1 trades$2060 min
7/4/2026, 4:32:41 PM2 trades$1990 min
9/6/2024, 5:10:07 PM1 trades$1710 min
10/16/2024, 10:57:17 PM1 trades$1680 min
9/11/2024, 2:01:53 AM1 trades$1580 min
7/22/2026, 7:05:42 PM6 trades$1510 min
7/1/2025, 11:46:43 PM2 trades$1503 min
7/2/2025, 10:25:23 AM1 trades$1380 min
9/11/2024, 1:19:10 AM1 trades$1170 min
8/3/2024, 4:12:00 AM4 trades$1098 min
12/4/2024, 9:09:54 PM1 trades$800 min
10/4/2024, 6:27:15 AM1 trades$780 min
9/11/2024, 2:26:04 AM1 trades$780 min
7/24/2024, 4:27:24 AM2 trades$740 min
9/5/2024, 4:45:37 PM1 trades$730 min
7/19/2024, 5:40:10 PM1 trades$710 min
7/15/2024, 2:18:57 PM5 trades$695 min
9/21/2024, 4:29:32 PM3 trades$582 min
7/26/2024, 1:44:08 PM1 trades$570 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-15
08-02
08-08
09-05
09-18
11-02
12-04
01-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 488 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.65/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L38 / M36 / H26