@bulletin8

#2,618,46120

0x824aac41d0f38ba7659fc560b4eddce37a0fec36

~24d· 29 markets · 474 tradesVol: $5,1102026-08-04 22:22:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (14/29)9.1/20
0.10x (win $17 / loss $161)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -12.4740/15
Sortino -10.5600/10
$-0.1470 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 984 (29 markets)7.6/10
10/23 profitable days (43%)3.4/10
Max DD 23854% of peak ($146 / $1)0/10

Badges

2
DCA Master
Avg 16.3 entries/market
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,497,969$-127Vol: $5,110

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-127
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,110
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
320B / 154S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
14W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-127
Win Rate
48%
14W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.1x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12 (0.09536225013826342% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 10?$6
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 2?$5
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 30?$1
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 25?$1
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 14?$1
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 25?$1
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 12?$1
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 28?$0
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 8?$0
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 8?$0

Top Losers

Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 15?$-33
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 13?$-27
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 18?$-17
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 9?$-15
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 20?$-13
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 23?$-13
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 24?$-8
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 17?$-7
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 9?$-7
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 11?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.639
Sortino
-0.691
HHI
943
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.147
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.6%
Top-5 markets
58.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 407s — normal for humanCV 1.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active0.9 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.34
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.4%
Mid (20-55c)15.6%
High (>55c)70.9%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 1:30:10 PM12 trades$583 min
6/15/2026, 11:06:49 AM7 trades$463 min
6/17/2026, 3:23:37 PM5 trades$441 min
6/15/2026, 10:54:43 AM7 trades$437 min
6/17/2026, 1:38:05 PM11 trades$411 min
6/23/2026, 1:39:34 PM13 trades$299 min
6/23/2026, 3:04:16 PM4 trades$282 min
6/23/2026, 1:54:22 PM4 trades$240 min
6/17/2026, 2:31:50 PM5 trades$221 min
6/12/2026, 12:01:06 PM2 trades$200 min
6/23/2026, 8:28:17 AM2 trades$200 min
6/17/2026, 2:58:13 PM5 trades$190 min
6/16/2026, 12:01:07 PM2 trades$190 min
6/15/2026, 5:21:18 PM3 trades$170 min
6/11/2026, 5:38:52 PM8 trades$173 min
6/23/2026, 2:19:16 PM2 trades$160 min
6/23/2026, 2:36:25 PM4 trades$150 min
7/2/2026, 3:10:38 PM9 trades$146 min
6/11/2026, 5:28:55 PM2 trades$140 min
7/10/2026, 1:48:40 AM11 trades$144 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
06-11
06-14
06-17
06-23
06-26
07-02
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 31 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.34/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.4 / M15.6 / H70.9