@butme

#2,865,6339

0x57a8a29491ed350c40600d959a1cd52879832fff

~31d· 154 markets · 852 tradesVol: $23,5382026-08-05 01:39:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

19% (12/64)0/20
0.52x (win $390 / loss $751)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3140/15
Sortino -5.1720/10
$-0.0839 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 628 (64 markets)9.4/10
8/27 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 2844% of peak ($428 / $15)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
61% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,554,983$-175Vol: $9,376
💰 FINANCE#633,291$-101Vol: $4,752
₿ CRYPTO#1,458,963$-93Vol: $3,092
⚽ SPORTS#1,647,294$-78Vol: $2,825
🌤️ WEATHER#271,866$-38Vol: $678
📈 ECONOMICS#638,890$-31Vol: $569
🎭 CULTURE#710,969$-15Vol: $530
💻 TECH#214,938$-5Vol: $294
📢 MENTIONS#91,066$-1Vol: $251

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-563
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,538
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
154
total markets
Trades
576B / 276S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-563
Vol: $23,538

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
12W / 52L events
Realized PnL
$-563
Win Rate
19%
12W / 52L
Profit Factor
0.52x
Avg Win
$32
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $289 (0.5134003052784779% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$203
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?$45
Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?$41
Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34
Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?$24
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$21
Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?$15
Will Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile be below 18 cents?$3

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$-77
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$-72
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$-56
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-48
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?$-37
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$-32
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?$-29
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2026?$-27
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?$-26
Will Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile be between 20 and 21 cents?$-26

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.222
Sortino
-0.263
HHI
159
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.163
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.9%
Top-5 markets
23.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 561s — normal for humanCV 1.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.12
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.2%
Mid (20-55c)42.7%
High (>55c)39.1%

Sessions

#12
3/7/2026, 2:57:19 AM4 trades$4764 min
3/7/2026, 3:06:57 AM13 trades$36611 min
3/1/2026, 7:58:45 AM11 trades$26718 min
6/19/2026, 1:51:56 AM18 trades$2162 min
6/28/2026, 11:28:52 AM16 trades$1883 min
3/1/2026, 8:23:29 AM12 trades$17711 min
5/20/2026, 4:32:57 AM3 trades$1560 min
3/7/2026, 3:27:37 AM1 trades$1360 min
5/20/2026, 3:55:16 AM1 trades$840 min
6/20/2026, 10:40:53 AM2 trades$840 min
6/27/2026, 11:46:38 AM8 trades$704 min
6/14/2026, 12:28:39 AM8 trades$693 min
6/13/2026, 1:52:48 PM8 trades$632 min
6/17/2026, 1:40:25 PM4 trades$613 min
7/1/2026, 7:38:43 AM4 trades$600 min
6/18/2026, 2:16:26 AM10 trades$603 min
6/25/2026, 6:18:52 PM4 trades$600 min
6/29/2026, 11:48:47 PM4 trades$600 min
6/24/2026, 4:35:05 PM4 trades$590 min
6/28/2026, 5:59:55 PM4 trades$580 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-01
03-19
05-20
06-16
06-20
06-25
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.12/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L18.2 / M42.7 / H39.1