@buttcoinjackson

#2,720,63419

0xcc29323f71615b7d3b6decd3fe066457237166b4

~7d· 58 markets · 274 tradesVol: $10,6892026-08-04 19:45:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (29/58)10/20
0.37x (win $211 / loss $573)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -16.0720/15
Sortino -12.6250/10
$-0.2435 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 735 (58 markets)8.8/10
2/7 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($363 / $0)0/10

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#291,277$-211Vol: $10,689

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-211
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,689
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
143B / 131S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
29W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$-211
Win Rate
50%
29W / 29L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $81 (0.3833601362217388% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?$40
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?$26
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 21?$15
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 20?$14
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?$12
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 20?$10
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 21?$10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 21?$10
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 20?$10
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 20?$9

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 25?$-164
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$-70
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 20?$-69
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 25?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 21?$-36
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 20?$-19
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 20?$-18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?$-18
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 20?$-17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?$-16

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.779
Sortino
-1.123
HHI
553
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.243
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.9%
Top-5 markets
40.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
39.1
Active
Markets / Day
8.3
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
19s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
27
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 19s — normal for humanCV 2.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity39 trades/day — high frequency8.3 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.72
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.7%
Mid (20-55c)37.8%
High (>55c)54.5%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 7:13:01 PM5 trades$7510 min
6/20/2026, 10:31:50 AM31 trades$2886 min
6/24/2026, 10:57:25 AM16 trades$2633 min
6/19/2026, 9:31:28 PM28 trades$1817 min
6/23/2026, 12:20:47 AM25 trades$1687 min
6/21/2026, 7:34:04 PM9 trades$1500 min
6/20/2026, 10:16:01 PM12 trades$1481 min
6/20/2026, 11:50:11 PM28 trades$1386 min
6/19/2026, 5:20:35 PM23 trades$1066 min
6/19/2026, 9:54:32 PM13 trades$773 min
6/19/2026, 11:29:22 PM10 trades$721 min
6/23/2026, 3:39:17 PM4 trades$720 min
6/25/2026, 5:04:05 PM4 trades$580 min
6/21/2026, 8:41:37 AM12 trades$537 min
6/24/2026, 8:43:41 PM6 trades$530 min
6/24/2026, 9:26:26 AM4 trades$530 min
6/20/2026, 3:17:32 AM9 trades$320 min
6/20/2026, 6:12:35 AM5 trades$292 min
6/20/2026, 10:09:28 PM6 trades$291 min
6/24/2026, 9:19:38 PM7 trades$219 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
06-20
06-21
06-22
06-23
06-24
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.72/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.7 / M37.8 / H54.5