@byteevan

#598,63617

0x517809146cec1672036a75f36ef8d838bbc4342f

~25d· 21 markets · 192 tradesVol: $3,9592026-08-04 22:59:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (9/21)6.4/20
0.68x (win $40 / loss $58)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6620/15
Sortino -3.2100/10
$-0.0108 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 883 (21 markets)8.1/10
7/17 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 179% of peak ($42 / $24)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+4
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#246,104$3Vol: $3,616
📈 ECONOMICS#132,123$1Vol: $343

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,959
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
108B / 84S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$4
Vol: $3,959

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
9W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$4
Win Rate
43%
9W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $27 (7.051546391752577% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$16
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?$8
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$4
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$3
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?$3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?$2
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$2
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$1
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$1

Top Losers

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$-9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$-8
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$-6
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$-4
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$-3
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?$-3
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $25B?$-3
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$-0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.135
Sortino
-0.157
HHI
1709
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21%
Top-5 markets
77.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.4h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 9644s — normal for humanCV 0.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.05
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)77.8%

Sessions

#12
5/7/2026, 8:46:22 AM6 trades$1070 min
5/21/2026, 4:54:52 PM5 trades$960 min
5/18/2026, 8:44:13 PM5 trades$951 min
5/12/2026, 11:44:33 PM5 trades$831 min
5/4/2026, 2:58:12 PM4 trades$761 min
5/28/2026, 8:45:54 AM3 trades$740 min
5/21/2026, 7:32:55 AM3 trades$710 min
5/21/2026, 10:18:35 AM2 trades$710 min
6/5/2026, 10:07:04 AM3 trades$700 min
5/7/2026, 1:34:11 PM3 trades$650 min
4/26/2026, 5:42:32 AM3 trades$640 min
4/26/2026, 2:07:48 PM3 trades$640 min
5/9/2026, 9:21:01 AM3 trades$630 min
5/18/2026, 10:42:01 AM4 trades$630 min
5/12/2026, 2:43:16 AM3 trades$600 min
6/22/2026, 4:56:50 PM4 trades$600 min
5/29/2026, 5:05:27 AM3 trades$580 min
5/9/2026, 3:11:17 PM2 trades$570 min
5/20/2026, 3:24:23 PM3 trades$531 min
5/8/2026, 9:52:38 AM4 trades$520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-26
04-28
05-09
05-12
05-15
05-20
05-25
05-29
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.05/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.2 / M0 / H77.8